Alright, the week off was kind of refreshing...but now it's time to figure out our post-season champion. I sent out the line last week, and here are the 10 prop bets. Reminder, the game is worth 10 points, and each of these props is worth 1 point for a total of 20 possible points available on the Super Bowl.
STANDINGS
POST-SEASON W
JR 55
TN 53
GT 53
SS 49
CP 49
GR 47
AW 46
MH 45
MT 45
RO 42
MR 41
MC 40
JG 34
LW 33
MO 32
JH 31
MS 0
LINE
NYG
NE -3
PROPS
1. TOTAL 55.5 (Over or Under)
2. 1st Half lines NE -.5 (NYG +.5 or NE -.5)
3. Will there be a defensive or special team TD (Yes or No)
4. Will the first score be a TD? (Yes or No)
5. Who will have more passing yards (Brady or Manning)
6. Will there be a missed FG (Yes or No)
7. Will there be a score in the first 5:30 of the game (Yes or No)
8. More receiving yards (CRUZ or NICKS)
9. Shortest TD of the game over/under 1.5 yards (Over or Under)
10. Total sacks over/under 5.5 (Over or Under)
So from most of you I need your pick on the game and your pick for each of the 10 props. Please try and get me these by EOD Thursday and I will send out the Super Bowl preview with winning scenarios on Friday.
It's the last Football bet of the year - make it a good one. Good Luck.
Also - just as a reminder, we're planning the 3rd annual Football Challenge Gathering of the Minds on March 17th at BWW in Chanhassen. It's the first Saturday of the NCAA Hoops Tourney, and it's also St. Patty's Day. I'm planning an all day affair of gambling, wings, and awarding the prize money from the Football Challenge. I hope you all can make it. I know we're still about 6 weeks out, but as we get closer I'd like to get a count of who plans on attending so I can make the proper arrangements. We can figure this out in FEB once all the Football is officially done, but I just wanted to remind everyone about it so you can mark off your calendar now. Even if you can't stay all day, it would be great to see everyone for a drink or two. See what you can do.
Monday, January 30, 2012
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
SUPER BOWL Line
Here it is...
NYG
NE -3
I don't need this pick for a couple of weeks, so you can take your time or send it this week if you want...whatever.
I'll send the prop list next week, shoot me a note if you have any good props that should make the cut. They have to be either/or kind of props so nothing like "player to score the first TD?" type of thing. I've got a pretty good list going, but let me know if you see something or come up with something that is a relative 50:50 chance.
Thanks.
Good Luck!
NYG
NE -3
I don't need this pick for a couple of weeks, so you can take your time or send it this week if you want...whatever.
I'll send the prop list next week, shoot me a note if you have any good props that should make the cut. They have to be either/or kind of props so nothing like "player to score the first TD?" type of thing. I've got a pretty good list going, but let me know if you see something or come up with something that is a relative 50:50 chance.
Thanks.
Good Luck!
Monday, January 23, 2012
Championship Sunday Review
2 great games yesterday. The standings certainly tightened up quite a bit as I lost my first NFL Playoff game of the year. With 20 points on the line for Super Bowl week, I think anyone within 10-15 has a shot.
The line is looking like 3 right now, but I will wait to see if it changes by tomorrow when we finalize the line for our pool. I will also be putting together the 10 prop bets this week and get those out to you next week for your picks. With such a tight race, these could be really important.
CURRENT STANDINGS
POST-SEASON W
JR 55
TN 53
GT 53
SS 49
CP 49
GR 47
AW 46
MH 45
MT 45
RO 42
MR 41
MC 40
JG 34
LW 33
MO 32
JH 31
MS 0
My thoughts on the games (because I have time since nothing besides internet works on my computer right now!):
BAL-NE
I thought this was maybe the worst game I'd seen Brady play and Belichick coach in quite a long time. Brady didn't throw it very well at all and made some horrible choices (the pick after the turnover in the 4th quarter). Belichick seemed off his game as well with his questionable play calls at some points and taking a knee into half time, and not challenging some very challengable plays. With all of that, the Pats were ripe for an upset, but the idiot kicker blew the chance for the Ravens. It's amazing how critical every part of special teams becomes at this point in the season. It made the difference in both games yesterday. Flacco impressed me. He played a lot sharper than I expected. I said if you take the Ravens you are banking on an adequate performance from Flacco, they won't turn it over...which they won the TO battle, and the D will limit Brady enough for them to keep up. All of which happened, to my surprise. I think NE could have gotten it done if Brady had hit on a couple of big plays earlier that were there but he just missed. It was disappointing, I hate the win and no cover, but every streak must end. Overall, NE probably wasn't the smartest pick...I should have stuck to the priniciple of taking the better D when they are getting points.
NYG-SF
Exactly the kind of game I expected out of these 2. It really could have gone either way. The 2 TO's on punt returns...ouch, what a way to lose. Eli was outstanding again. Alex Smith looked like Alex Smith again. Seriously, if the NYG just take away Davis all day I don't think SF musters more than 6 points. 2 really strong defenses both showed up and dominated at times. I really found myself cheering against Harbaugh at the end, he just seems like such a jack-ass at times. And this suspicion was confirmed on the post game hand shake when he basically blew off Coughlin. Classy move Jim. I know he's an emotional guy and angry that he lost, but you still need to lose with a little class in a game like that. He must be from the Bert Bielema school of coaching.
Only 1 game left for Football Challenge 2011, and plenty of cash still on the line.
I'll send out the final Super Bowl line tomorrow and the 10 props next week. Nothing will be due for 2 weeks, so plan accordingly. Lots of strategery going into these picks with so many guys alive for the big prize - should be a ton of fun and a ton of drama. Good Luck!
The line is looking like 3 right now, but I will wait to see if it changes by tomorrow when we finalize the line for our pool. I will also be putting together the 10 prop bets this week and get those out to you next week for your picks. With such a tight race, these could be really important.
CURRENT STANDINGS
POST-SEASON W
JR 55
TN 53
GT 53
SS 49
CP 49
GR 47
AW 46
MH 45
MT 45
RO 42
MR 41
MC 40
JG 34
LW 33
MO 32
JH 31
MS 0
My thoughts on the games (because I have time since nothing besides internet works on my computer right now!):
BAL-NE
I thought this was maybe the worst game I'd seen Brady play and Belichick coach in quite a long time. Brady didn't throw it very well at all and made some horrible choices (the pick after the turnover in the 4th quarter). Belichick seemed off his game as well with his questionable play calls at some points and taking a knee into half time, and not challenging some very challengable plays. With all of that, the Pats were ripe for an upset, but the idiot kicker blew the chance for the Ravens. It's amazing how critical every part of special teams becomes at this point in the season. It made the difference in both games yesterday. Flacco impressed me. He played a lot sharper than I expected. I said if you take the Ravens you are banking on an adequate performance from Flacco, they won't turn it over...which they won the TO battle, and the D will limit Brady enough for them to keep up. All of which happened, to my surprise. I think NE could have gotten it done if Brady had hit on a couple of big plays earlier that were there but he just missed. It was disappointing, I hate the win and no cover, but every streak must end. Overall, NE probably wasn't the smartest pick...I should have stuck to the priniciple of taking the better D when they are getting points.
NYG-SF
Exactly the kind of game I expected out of these 2. It really could have gone either way. The 2 TO's on punt returns...ouch, what a way to lose. Eli was outstanding again. Alex Smith looked like Alex Smith again. Seriously, if the NYG just take away Davis all day I don't think SF musters more than 6 points. 2 really strong defenses both showed up and dominated at times. I really found myself cheering against Harbaugh at the end, he just seems like such a jack-ass at times. And this suspicion was confirmed on the post game hand shake when he basically blew off Coughlin. Classy move Jim. I know he's an emotional guy and angry that he lost, but you still need to lose with a little class in a game like that. He must be from the Bert Bielema school of coaching.
Only 1 game left for Football Challenge 2011, and plenty of cash still on the line.
I'll send out the final Super Bowl line tomorrow and the 10 props next week. Nothing will be due for 2 weeks, so plan accordingly. Lots of strategery going into these picks with so many guys alive for the big prize - should be a ton of fun and a ton of drama. Good Luck!
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Championship Sunday Preview
The last day of the football season with multiple games to watch...so here's what we're rooting for on Sunday.
BAL at NE (-7.5)
9 on BAL and 7 on NE
NE (JR,JG,MR,AW,MC,RO,LW)
This was definitely the toughest call of the 2 for me. I started the week thinking NE, went to BAL for about 36 hours, and then settled on NE. I think you can make a case for both.
First, the case for BAL: Never in the last 4 years of playoffs and regular season have they been this large of an underdog in a game. Defense rules in the playoffs as a rule of thumb, and BAL definitely has the better defense. The case against BAL is this...Joe Flacco #1. He didn't do much to help them beat HOU, and granted he should be able to do more against a bad NE D, but after being called out by his own guys this week I don't expect anything great from him. BAL also has a tendency to turn the ball over on the road this year. Actually, they just don't play very well on the road in general only going 4-4 this year. Historically (the last 3 years), the team they plays better (wins by the largest margin) in the divisional round has won every year in the championship game...BAL struggled and only won by 7 while NE cruised. I do believe the line is very close to what the spread will actually finish at, but to buy BAL you have to be thinking that Flacco will play adequate, they won't turn it over, and the defense can limit NE enough to allow the BAL offense to keep up. BAL only averaged 24 ppg this season, but they only got blown out twice, so the odds of them keeping it within a TD are likely. With that being said, I went with NE. Why NE? In my mind, their superior offense is more of an advantage than BAL's superior defense. If I had to pick either unit (NE D or BAL O) to step up and play above their head for one game only I would take the NE D at home. Also, every team that has played a tight divisional playoff game (won by 7 or less) in the last 3 years has lost the next round. The trend I'm seeing is that Super Bowl teams have an easy time in the divisional round and don't sweat it until at least this week. BAL definitely does not fit that criteria. I hate picking against Brady/Belichick ever, especially in a big game like this. At -6.5 this is an absolute no brainer for me to take NE, but the -7.5 offers some doubt. NE has the look of a determined team that is driven to get back to prominance in the league, and there is also a revenge factor built in on this one for the beatdown BAL put on them last time they met in the Playoffs. Only 2 times in the last 3+ years has a team won the game and not covered the spread (BAL last week, and a certain Purple team at NO a couple of years back at +3.5) so I feel like it comes down to picking the team you think will win the game and don't be influenced by the points. So with that I have to take the home team, the better team, the better QB and the PATS to win.
CALL: NE wins 31-20. Brady plays like Brady, Flacco tries to prove to everyone that he is big-time and fails miserably against a brilliant Belichick defensive plan, and nobody covers Gronkowski.
NYG at SF (-2.5)
10 on NYG and 6 on SF
SF (MC,MT,CP,LW,JH,MO)
I figured this one out just a few minutes after the 4th NYG TD at the silent Lambeau field last week. Nobody is playing like the G-Men right now. Eli is not turning it over, the WR's/OL/RB's are healthy and moving the ball. The defense is playing at the same level as the last Super Bowl run the NYG made and getting tons of pressure with their front 4. SF is coming off a "nobody gave us a chance" win last week against NO, which we've seen is the kiss of death for the next round in recent history. The QB battle is an easy one, Eli > Alex. I'll give it to Smith that he played better last week, but that's against a poor NO defense that blitzes every down and has holes in their coverage. And they totally shut down the 49ers offense for most of the game but allowed points in the end and on short fields after some of the 5ish TO's that NO committed. That won't happen this week. NYG won't turn it over like NO. The defenses are both very good, the weather sounds like it will be brutal, and the turnover battle is about even. The big difference here is on offense. You have a rookie HC with a QB who is in his first playoff run vs. a veteran HC with an elite QB. I've heard a lot of bad weather = advantage 49ers talk this week. I don't necessarily agree with that. Both teams are playing on the sloppy track, so I have a hard time giving an advantage one way or another. They can both play D and run the ball, typically the 2 major factors you look at in bad weather games.
CALL: I like NYG to win 23-20 in a tight game. Give me the better QB and the points with a team that is playing better than anyone against a team that won a fluky home game last week and has a ? at QB.
Both games are worth 5 points this week for a 10 point week in total. Here are the standings once again coming into the week:
POST-SEASON W
JR 50
CP 44
TN 43
GT 43
AW 41
MC 40
MT 40
SS 39
GR 37
RO 37
MR 36
MH 35
LW 33
JG 29
MO 27
JH 26
MS 0
I have a 6 point lead, but could be passed this week by CP is he sweeps with his BAL/SF picks. 20 points available next week (10 for game, +10 single point props) so lots of room left to grow for those of you that have some extra ground to make up. Plus I'm 8-0 in the playoffs so far, so I'm bound to go 0-2 this week right?
Good Luck.
BAL at NE (-7.5)
9 on BAL and 7 on NE
NE (JR,JG,MR,AW,MC,RO,LW)
This was definitely the toughest call of the 2 for me. I started the week thinking NE, went to BAL for about 36 hours, and then settled on NE. I think you can make a case for both.
First, the case for BAL: Never in the last 4 years of playoffs and regular season have they been this large of an underdog in a game. Defense rules in the playoffs as a rule of thumb, and BAL definitely has the better defense. The case against BAL is this...Joe Flacco #1. He didn't do much to help them beat HOU, and granted he should be able to do more against a bad NE D, but after being called out by his own guys this week I don't expect anything great from him. BAL also has a tendency to turn the ball over on the road this year. Actually, they just don't play very well on the road in general only going 4-4 this year. Historically (the last 3 years), the team they plays better (wins by the largest margin) in the divisional round has won every year in the championship game...BAL struggled and only won by 7 while NE cruised. I do believe the line is very close to what the spread will actually finish at, but to buy BAL you have to be thinking that Flacco will play adequate, they won't turn it over, and the defense can limit NE enough to allow the BAL offense to keep up. BAL only averaged 24 ppg this season, but they only got blown out twice, so the odds of them keeping it within a TD are likely. With that being said, I went with NE. Why NE? In my mind, their superior offense is more of an advantage than BAL's superior defense. If I had to pick either unit (NE D or BAL O) to step up and play above their head for one game only I would take the NE D at home. Also, every team that has played a tight divisional playoff game (won by 7 or less) in the last 3 years has lost the next round. The trend I'm seeing is that Super Bowl teams have an easy time in the divisional round and don't sweat it until at least this week. BAL definitely does not fit that criteria. I hate picking against Brady/Belichick ever, especially in a big game like this. At -6.5 this is an absolute no brainer for me to take NE, but the -7.5 offers some doubt. NE has the look of a determined team that is driven to get back to prominance in the league, and there is also a revenge factor built in on this one for the beatdown BAL put on them last time they met in the Playoffs. Only 2 times in the last 3+ years has a team won the game and not covered the spread (BAL last week, and a certain Purple team at NO a couple of years back at +3.5) so I feel like it comes down to picking the team you think will win the game and don't be influenced by the points. So with that I have to take the home team, the better team, the better QB and the PATS to win.
CALL: NE wins 31-20. Brady plays like Brady, Flacco tries to prove to everyone that he is big-time and fails miserably against a brilliant Belichick defensive plan, and nobody covers Gronkowski.
NYG at SF (-2.5)
10 on NYG and 6 on SF
SF (MC,MT,CP,LW,JH,MO)
I figured this one out just a few minutes after the 4th NYG TD at the silent Lambeau field last week. Nobody is playing like the G-Men right now. Eli is not turning it over, the WR's/OL/RB's are healthy and moving the ball. The defense is playing at the same level as the last Super Bowl run the NYG made and getting tons of pressure with their front 4. SF is coming off a "nobody gave us a chance" win last week against NO, which we've seen is the kiss of death for the next round in recent history. The QB battle is an easy one, Eli > Alex. I'll give it to Smith that he played better last week, but that's against a poor NO defense that blitzes every down and has holes in their coverage. And they totally shut down the 49ers offense for most of the game but allowed points in the end and on short fields after some of the 5ish TO's that NO committed. That won't happen this week. NYG won't turn it over like NO. The defenses are both very good, the weather sounds like it will be brutal, and the turnover battle is about even. The big difference here is on offense. You have a rookie HC with a QB who is in his first playoff run vs. a veteran HC with an elite QB. I've heard a lot of bad weather = advantage 49ers talk this week. I don't necessarily agree with that. Both teams are playing on the sloppy track, so I have a hard time giving an advantage one way or another. They can both play D and run the ball, typically the 2 major factors you look at in bad weather games.
CALL: I like NYG to win 23-20 in a tight game. Give me the better QB and the points with a team that is playing better than anyone against a team that won a fluky home game last week and has a ? at QB.
Both games are worth 5 points this week for a 10 point week in total. Here are the standings once again coming into the week:
POST-SEASON W
JR 50
CP 44
TN 43
GT 43
AW 41
MC 40
MT 40
SS 39
GR 37
RO 37
MR 36
MH 35
LW 33
JG 29
MO 27
JH 26
MS 0
I have a 6 point lead, but could be passed this week by CP is he sweeps with his BAL/SF picks. 20 points available next week (10 for game, +10 single point props) so lots of room left to grow for those of you that have some extra ground to make up. Plus I'm 8-0 in the playoffs so far, so I'm bound to go 0-2 this week right?
Good Luck.
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Championship Sunday Lines
Here we go - 2 games this week, here are the lines.
Each of these is worth 5 points for a grand total of 10 available for this week.
BAL
NE -7.5
NYG
SF -2.5
Send me your picks by Thursday.
Each of these is worth 5 points for a grand total of 10 available for this week.
BAL
NE -7.5
NYG
SF -2.5
Send me your picks by Thursday.
Monday, January 16, 2012
Divsional Round Review
Well, that was fun. The Packer fun facts are everywhere today...some of my favs:
- 1st 15-1 team ever to not even MAKE the NFC Championship Game, they truly out did us there.
- Daunte Culpepper has won more playoff games at Lambeau than Aaron Rodgers
- Wisconsin teams can't defend the Hail Mary
G-reg made a good point, they will have plenty of time on their hands to keep making more commercials.
What a pathetic performance...it was glorious. Rodgers looked rusty and inaccurate, the WR's kept dropping balls, the back kept fumbling, and the defense played...well, they played like the defense has all year in GB. The clever comebacks are coming from the loyal Packer-backers..."I didn't see the Vikings even in the playoffs." Ouch, that hurts. The point isn't a GB vs. MN thing, it's more of a I-HATE-MY-RIVALS thing and want them to fail at all costs and I enjoy their misery when they do fail because they all take this whole thing so much more seriously than any normal person should. That's why this is fun.
Anyway, moving on from the most recent Sconny collapse (see Brew Crew and Vadgers), it was a pretty decent week in the Football Challenge.
Here are the total post-season standings as of today:
POST-SEASON W
JR 50
CP 44
TN 43
GT 43
AW 41
MC 40
MT 40
SS 39
GR 37
RO 37
MR 36
MH 35
LW 33
JG 29
MO 27
JH 26
MS 0
I went 4-0 again, as did BOMB. Nobody put down an 0'fer, but a lot of 1-3's this week. But only 20 points of the 50 available in the NFL playoffs have passed, so there's still time.
This week's 2 lines will be sent out tomorrow.
Good Luck!!
Thursday, January 12, 2012
NFL Playoff Picks - Divisional Round
Week 2 of the NFL Playoffs are upon us. I'm not sure how you guys feel, but the games this week seemed brutally tough to pick. We are at a 9-7 split in all 4 games.
NO at SF (+3.5)
9 on NO, only 7 on SF (JR,AW,GR,TN,CP,LW,MO).
This was the toughest game of the week for me to pick. On the one hand you have the Saints and their crazy streak of scoring 40+ in 4 straight games and covering their last 9 in a row. They are playing better than anyone right now, and I thought there was no way I would bet against this team this week. However, every bit of research and digging I did led me toward the 49ers rather than NO. The only real reason I had for picking NO is because they are hot and I think they are the best team...not real scientific. Why SF? Lots of reasons...1)NO on the road on grass is not nearly the same club as NO on turf or on turf at home. 2) Defense wins titles...picking the better defense always seems to be a safe play in the playoffs, SF is far superior on D to NO. 3)Turnovers...SF is a +2.2 TO per game this year while NO is actually a -.5 per game. Do you know in the last 3 years how many teams with a negative TO margin made it past round 2...NONE. 4) The whole world is discounting SF, they went 13-3 and are getting 3.5 at home. A home dog in this round is EXTREMELY rare, and no doubt it will be a motivator. 72% of all bets are picking the Saints right now...a % that high qualifies the 49ers for the "nobody believes in us" status, which is a dangerous thing as a home dog. And since the spread usually doesn't come into play in these games, I'll call for an outright W for the 49ers.
CALL: SF wins 20-17...at least 4 Akers FG's make the difference.
DEN at NE (-13.5)
9 on DEN and 7 on NE (JR,AW,SS,RO,TN,GT,JH)
This was the easiest pick of the weekend for me. You have Tebow in off of a perfect storm, miracle type win...and then you have the best coach/QB combo in the game. Giving 13.5 in a playoff game is not ideal, but I think it will be a slam dunk. Why NE? 1)DEN coming in off of that big win as a big dog reminds me a lot of SEA last year after beating NO then flopping against the Bears. They have already done more than was expected, so getting that kind of juice going again this week is unlikely...and you are not at home and you are playing a rested, healthy, better team than PIT. 2)Turnovers. The only other negative TO team in the final 8 is DEN, while the Pats are +1.6/game. A huge difference. The way NE scores will likely force DEN to open it up if they get behind early, then the turnover issues will come into play. 3) NE is so due for a good playoff win. They have really struggled the last couple of years in the playoffs, so a lot of frustration will be coming out this week. 4) Belichick game planning to stop Tebow...I know the Pats D is not outstanding, but he'll come up with enough offense and intricate schemes on D to make Jesus struggle a lot in this one. The bottom line is DEN has NO CHANCE to win this game outright...yep, 0% chance. So if that's the case you have to take the home fav.
CALL: NE 38-10.
HOU at BAL (-7.5)
9 on HOU and 7 on BAL (MR,MH,SS,RO,TN,LW,JH)
I went with a rookie QB on the road in the playoffs in this one. In my mind, these 2 are pretty much the same team. Average to below average QB, great running games, big play WR's, and great defenses. I just feel like this has low scoring nail biter written all over it this weekend. Neither team trusts their QB enough to throw it 40 times, so there should be a heavy dose of conservative running attacks and safe TE and short WR passes. A lot of you have mentioned that you chose Ravens because of Yates being on the other side...well, I don't think Joe Flacco is actually that much of an upgrade from TJ. Both defenses are well above average and will likely cancel each other out. So the winner comes down to who makes the plays on offense. HOU's offense actually outperformed BAL by quite a large margin this year in YPP (5.8 vs. 5.3)(adjusted for HOU road and BAL home). I think they are more fearless and have more of a big play threat at this point, which makes them dangerous. The Ravens have not covered large lines all year (1-6 ATS as fav of more than 7). I think that's because they simply don't have the offensive ability to beat people by large margins. The only thing that could doom the Texans in this one is if the Ravens get a couple of D/SPT TD's, then a BAL cover is likely. But I am expecting a grinder of a game where the team that makes the first big play and least mistakes will take over and win.
CALL: HOU wins and covers 13-10.
NYG at GB (-7.5)
9 on NYG and 7 on GB (JG,SS,MT,CP,LW,JH,MO)
This was another tough one for me. My numbers are saying GB wins a close one, so I played it like that by taking NYG, but I really don't have any idea what to expect. The major factors in my favor are 1)NYG are playing extremely well. 2) NYG have a far superior D and pass rush. 3)NYG have enough offense to keep up with GB and could make it a horse race. I'm scared that the Packers have kind of been under the radar for the last couple of weeks. And I'm scared that almost 70% of the bets have come in on NYG. The Pack will be rested, but they have some concerning injuries along the OL that might play into my favor with the fierce NYG pass rush. GB lives off of turnovers on D, Eli is typically very strong in the playoffs but he's been known on occasion to have issues throwing to the wrong color. I think it's in the NYG best interest to run the hell out of it when possible. The more the GB offense is on the bench, the better the chance you have to win. When NYG nearly beat them in the regular season, they were far from full strength on offense with really only 1 of their big 3 WR's healthy. That is not the case any more, so I think they will be able to match GB's explosiveness on offense. The NYG defensive injuries don't concern me, because honestly they won't really stop the Pack a lot even if they are 100% healthy. It will be a shootout, because that's what GB has been playing in all year long. I think it comes down to the wire, and I hope I'm wrong, but I think GB eeks it out.
CALL: GB wins, NYG cover...38-31.
It should be a great weekend of football to watch. Good luck to everyone!!
NO at SF (+3.5)
9 on NO, only 7 on SF (JR,AW,GR,TN,CP,LW,MO).
This was the toughest game of the week for me to pick. On the one hand you have the Saints and their crazy streak of scoring 40+ in 4 straight games and covering their last 9 in a row. They are playing better than anyone right now, and I thought there was no way I would bet against this team this week. However, every bit of research and digging I did led me toward the 49ers rather than NO. The only real reason I had for picking NO is because they are hot and I think they are the best team...not real scientific. Why SF? Lots of reasons...1)NO on the road on grass is not nearly the same club as NO on turf or on turf at home. 2) Defense wins titles...picking the better defense always seems to be a safe play in the playoffs, SF is far superior on D to NO. 3)Turnovers...SF is a +2.2 TO per game this year while NO is actually a -.5 per game. Do you know in the last 3 years how many teams with a negative TO margin made it past round 2...NONE. 4) The whole world is discounting SF, they went 13-3 and are getting 3.5 at home. A home dog in this round is EXTREMELY rare, and no doubt it will be a motivator. 72% of all bets are picking the Saints right now...a % that high qualifies the 49ers for the "nobody believes in us" status, which is a dangerous thing as a home dog. And since the spread usually doesn't come into play in these games, I'll call for an outright W for the 49ers.
CALL: SF wins 20-17...at least 4 Akers FG's make the difference.
DEN at NE (-13.5)
9 on DEN and 7 on NE (JR,AW,SS,RO,TN,GT,JH)
This was the easiest pick of the weekend for me. You have Tebow in off of a perfect storm, miracle type win...and then you have the best coach/QB combo in the game. Giving 13.5 in a playoff game is not ideal, but I think it will be a slam dunk. Why NE? 1)DEN coming in off of that big win as a big dog reminds me a lot of SEA last year after beating NO then flopping against the Bears. They have already done more than was expected, so getting that kind of juice going again this week is unlikely...and you are not at home and you are playing a rested, healthy, better team than PIT. 2)Turnovers. The only other negative TO team in the final 8 is DEN, while the Pats are +1.6/game. A huge difference. The way NE scores will likely force DEN to open it up if they get behind early, then the turnover issues will come into play. 3) NE is so due for a good playoff win. They have really struggled the last couple of years in the playoffs, so a lot of frustration will be coming out this week. 4) Belichick game planning to stop Tebow...I know the Pats D is not outstanding, but he'll come up with enough offense and intricate schemes on D to make Jesus struggle a lot in this one. The bottom line is DEN has NO CHANCE to win this game outright...yep, 0% chance. So if that's the case you have to take the home fav.
CALL: NE 38-10.
HOU at BAL (-7.5)
9 on HOU and 7 on BAL (MR,MH,SS,RO,TN,LW,JH)
I went with a rookie QB on the road in the playoffs in this one. In my mind, these 2 are pretty much the same team. Average to below average QB, great running games, big play WR's, and great defenses. I just feel like this has low scoring nail biter written all over it this weekend. Neither team trusts their QB enough to throw it 40 times, so there should be a heavy dose of conservative running attacks and safe TE and short WR passes. A lot of you have mentioned that you chose Ravens because of Yates being on the other side...well, I don't think Joe Flacco is actually that much of an upgrade from TJ. Both defenses are well above average and will likely cancel each other out. So the winner comes down to who makes the plays on offense. HOU's offense actually outperformed BAL by quite a large margin this year in YPP (5.8 vs. 5.3)(adjusted for HOU road and BAL home). I think they are more fearless and have more of a big play threat at this point, which makes them dangerous. The Ravens have not covered large lines all year (1-6 ATS as fav of more than 7). I think that's because they simply don't have the offensive ability to beat people by large margins. The only thing that could doom the Texans in this one is if the Ravens get a couple of D/SPT TD's, then a BAL cover is likely. But I am expecting a grinder of a game where the team that makes the first big play and least mistakes will take over and win.
CALL: HOU wins and covers 13-10.
NYG at GB (-7.5)
9 on NYG and 7 on GB (JG,SS,MT,CP,LW,JH,MO)
This was another tough one for me. My numbers are saying GB wins a close one, so I played it like that by taking NYG, but I really don't have any idea what to expect. The major factors in my favor are 1)NYG are playing extremely well. 2) NYG have a far superior D and pass rush. 3)NYG have enough offense to keep up with GB and could make it a horse race. I'm scared that the Packers have kind of been under the radar for the last couple of weeks. And I'm scared that almost 70% of the bets have come in on NYG. The Pack will be rested, but they have some concerning injuries along the OL that might play into my favor with the fierce NYG pass rush. GB lives off of turnovers on D, Eli is typically very strong in the playoffs but he's been known on occasion to have issues throwing to the wrong color. I think it's in the NYG best interest to run the hell out of it when possible. The more the GB offense is on the bench, the better the chance you have to win. When NYG nearly beat them in the regular season, they were far from full strength on offense with really only 1 of their big 3 WR's healthy. That is not the case any more, so I think they will be able to match GB's explosiveness on offense. The NYG defensive injuries don't concern me, because honestly they won't really stop the Pack a lot even if they are 100% healthy. It will be a shootout, because that's what GB has been playing in all year long. I think it comes down to the wire, and I hope I'm wrong, but I think GB eeks it out.
CALL: GB wins, NYG cover...38-31.
It should be a great weekend of football to watch. Good luck to everyone!!
Need Picks From...
ROE
CORCORAN
OLSON
M.THOMAS
LUKE W.
OGE
Please send them over today.
Thanks.
Also great response to VEGAS TRIP 2012 - looks like it's going to be more than 4 guys this year based on early polling results. Good Stuff.
CORCORAN
OLSON
M.THOMAS
LUKE W.
OGE
Please send them over today.
Thanks.
Also great response to VEGAS TRIP 2012 - looks like it's going to be more than 4 guys this year based on early polling results. Good Stuff.
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Vegas Trip 2012
Hey Fellas -
Since the season is winding down and I've gotten a couple of inquiries on this already, I figured I would throw out some Vegas Trip 2012 details so you can start planning and saving for the biggest and best weekend of the year.
DATE: OCT 19 (FRI), 20th, 21st...back on 22nd (MON)
WHERE: Last year we stayed at Harrah's and gambled at the book at the Mirage...expecting a similar plan this year.
COST: The trip itself (room + flight) is about $500-$600 usually. Beyond that, you'll want to bring a bundle of gambling $$$ for all our winners we'll spot on the big board.
I usually book the trip in the early to mid Summer time. We'll fly out on Friday and return on Monday, so those are the 2 days you'll probably want to take off from work (also Saturday/Sunday if necessary). If you are interested, please let me know as we get into the Spring so I can have a complete list and know how many room we need for this year. We typically go with 4, but the more the merrier...anyone who is interested is welcome. For most of us, the weekend consists of tons of booze and sitting at the sports book until they run out of games each night and then moving our diminishing skills over to the pai gow tables or anything else that could take our money. Not a lot of clubs or shows, we hit the sportsbook hard and then find something else to do when the games are over.
This year, we are moving it back to the MEA week to accomodate my partner in crime, the only other guy who hasn't missed a year yet, the infamous JG. It also works out well because our favorite squad just happens to be playing on the road at a certain rival known as the Vadgers that weekend...oh god, I can see the carnage already. We better hope it's an 11am kickoff so we'll still be able to see it when we rush the field to take the axe!
Anyway, it's the greatest time ever if you enjoy booze, sports, and gambling. So start planning now and mark your calendars. I have a feeling this will be discussed about 45 times in the next 6 months before booking, but I just wanted to throw out the reminder and the details so anyone who wants to join in has that opportunity.
Thanks.
Since the season is winding down and I've gotten a couple of inquiries on this already, I figured I would throw out some Vegas Trip 2012 details so you can start planning and saving for the biggest and best weekend of the year.
DATE: OCT 19 (FRI), 20th, 21st...back on 22nd (MON)
WHERE: Last year we stayed at Harrah's and gambled at the book at the Mirage...expecting a similar plan this year.
COST: The trip itself (room + flight) is about $500-$600 usually. Beyond that, you'll want to bring a bundle of gambling $$$ for all our winners we'll spot on the big board.
I usually book the trip in the early to mid Summer time. We'll fly out on Friday and return on Monday, so those are the 2 days you'll probably want to take off from work (also Saturday/Sunday if necessary). If you are interested, please let me know as we get into the Spring so I can have a complete list and know how many room we need for this year. We typically go with 4, but the more the merrier...anyone who is interested is welcome. For most of us, the weekend consists of tons of booze and sitting at the sports book until they run out of games each night and then moving our diminishing skills over to the pai gow tables or anything else that could take our money. Not a lot of clubs or shows, we hit the sportsbook hard and then find something else to do when the games are over.
This year, we are moving it back to the MEA week to accomodate my partner in crime, the only other guy who hasn't missed a year yet, the infamous JG. It also works out well because our favorite squad just happens to be playing on the road at a certain rival known as the Vadgers that weekend...oh god, I can see the carnage already. We better hope it's an 11am kickoff so we'll still be able to see it when we rush the field to take the axe!
Anyway, it's the greatest time ever if you enjoy booze, sports, and gambling. So start planning now and mark your calendars. I have a feeling this will be discussed about 45 times in the next 6 months before booking, but I just wanted to throw out the reminder and the details so anyone who wants to join in has that opportunity.
Thanks.
Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Divisional Playoff Lines + Bowl Champ!
First - here are the 4 lines for this weekend. Please send me your 4 picks by Noon Thursday. Each game this week is worth 3 points.
NO
SF 3.5
DEN
NE -13.5
HOU
BAL -7.5
NYG
GB -7.5
Next, wow what a game last night. LSU gets blanked and can't even get over 100 yards of offense. Not exactly the thriller we were expecting/hoping for, but it's officially off-season time for College Football...sad.
Here are your final Bowl Standings:
BOWLS W
SS 32
CP 32
GT 32
JR 30
MT 29
MH 28
TN 28
MR 27
GR 26
MC 26
LW 26
AW 25
RO 25
JH 21
JG 20
MO 17
MS 0
SS won the 3 way tie breaker by winning 4 of 5 BCS games...so another $100 to Steve...congrats, nice work. Now these scores will carry over and be added to your total playoff score to come up with one number. Here's where those standings sit after last night...
POST-SEASON W
JR 38
CP 38
MT 37
SS 36
MC 34
TN 34
GT 34
MR 33
MH 32
RO 31
LW 30
AW 29
GR 28
JG 26
JH 23
MO 21
MS 0
There are still 42 possible points that can be earned, so nobody should be giving up hope quite yet.
Send me your picks - good luck!!
NO
SF 3.5
DEN
NE -13.5
HOU
BAL -7.5
NYG
GB -7.5
Next, wow what a game last night. LSU gets blanked and can't even get over 100 yards of offense. Not exactly the thriller we were expecting/hoping for, but it's officially off-season time for College Football...sad.
Here are your final Bowl Standings:
BOWLS W
SS 32
CP 32
GT 32
JR 30
MT 29
MH 28
TN 28
MR 27
GR 26
MC 26
LW 26
AW 25
RO 25
JH 21
JG 20
MO 17
MS 0
SS won the 3 way tie breaker by winning 4 of 5 BCS games...so another $100 to Steve...congrats, nice work. Now these scores will carry over and be added to your total playoff score to come up with one number. Here's where those standings sit after last night...
POST-SEASON W
JR 38
CP 38
MT 37
SS 36
MC 34
TN 34
GT 34
MR 33
MH 32
RO 31
LW 30
AW 29
GR 28
JG 26
JH 23
MO 21
MS 0
There are still 42 possible points that can be earned, so nobody should be giving up hope quite yet.
Send me your picks - good luck!!
Monday, January 9, 2012
Championship Monday
The big one is tonight, and the Bowl Champion crown is on the line.
BOWLS W
CP 32
SS 29
MT 29
GT 29
JR 27
GR 26
LW 26
AW 25
MH 25
TN 25
MR 24
MC 23
RO 22
JH 21
JG 20
MO 17
MS 0
It's a 3 point game tonight, and CP has a 3 point lead. However, as I mentioned last week, an ALA cover would give SS a 4/5 in BCS picks which would give him the tiebreaker over CP and GT who would each only have 3/5 on BCS picks. So it's pretty simple tonight...ALA = STEVE, again...LSU = COLE. But these 3 points are big for everyone, because it all counts toward you total post-season number.
LSU vs. ALA (+1)
We saw this game 2 months ago, but I have a feeling tonight will be a lot different. I think both teams came out and played tight last time and tried not to make that critical mistake. I feel like with the ample time to preapare (40 days!!) both offenses will find a couple of wrinkles that will be more effective this time around. Defensively, I'll call it a wash. They are the 2 most elite D's in the country so I really can't pick an advantage one way or the other there...although I like LSU's secondary and ALA's front 7 if I had to pick. QB play and special teams are probably going to decide this thing in my opinion. I'm not a big believer in Jordan Jefferson, but I think he might make a special play or 2 tonight that could be the difference just because he is an athlete and can make things happen with his legs. He's also more likely to make the stuipid pick 6 that loses the game...but I think his play will impact the results more than McCarron. ALA will likely go with their steady dose of pound pound pound and toss in the occasional play action and trickeration. I feel like LSU has the edge on SPT as well as they have more dynamic return men and the Grass Eater always seems to pull a blocked punt/fake FG type play out in these big games. My pick is ALA simply because I think overall they are a better team, statistically they are a better team, and coaching wise they are a better team. But LSU has had that luck factor and big play ability all season long, why would it stop now?
CALL: BAMA 19 LSU 16
BAMA lovers = JR, MR, MH, MC, SS, RO, TN, GT - 8 guys on each side...truly a toss up.
Hope you're all able to watch tonight. I'm gathering with the neighborhood gang, who I watched the first LSU-ALA game with back in NOV. That night ended with over 2 liter of Crown cashed out, a case of beer, and for some reason a bottle of Almond Champagne...not sure what happenend there. Expecting more of the same this evening. It's the last NCAA game we'll get for 8 months so enjoy it!!
NFL PLAYOFFS
3 guys rode the 4 home teams to a perfect start in the NFL playoffs...JR, MC, MT are all sitting with 8 points after the first weekend. 12 points are available next weekend with each game being worth 3. There is no payout for NFL only, but it will be added to your Bowl Total to determine the overall post-season champ. Here are those standings with 1 Bowl game left and 7 playoff games left:
POST-SEASON W
CP 38
MT 37
JR 35
SS 33
MC 31
TN 31
GT 31
MR 30
LW 30
AW 29
MH 29
GR 28
RO 28
JG 26
JH 23
MO 21
MS 0
47 points still on the line, so I don't think anyone is officially out yet. The lines for the divisional games will be sent tomorrow.
BOWLS W
CP 32
SS 29
MT 29
GT 29
JR 27
GR 26
LW 26
AW 25
MH 25
TN 25
MR 24
MC 23
RO 22
JH 21
JG 20
MO 17
MS 0
It's a 3 point game tonight, and CP has a 3 point lead. However, as I mentioned last week, an ALA cover would give SS a 4/5 in BCS picks which would give him the tiebreaker over CP and GT who would each only have 3/5 on BCS picks. So it's pretty simple tonight...ALA = STEVE, again...LSU = COLE. But these 3 points are big for everyone, because it all counts toward you total post-season number.
LSU vs. ALA (+1)
We saw this game 2 months ago, but I have a feeling tonight will be a lot different. I think both teams came out and played tight last time and tried not to make that critical mistake. I feel like with the ample time to preapare (40 days!!) both offenses will find a couple of wrinkles that will be more effective this time around. Defensively, I'll call it a wash. They are the 2 most elite D's in the country so I really can't pick an advantage one way or the other there...although I like LSU's secondary and ALA's front 7 if I had to pick. QB play and special teams are probably going to decide this thing in my opinion. I'm not a big believer in Jordan Jefferson, but I think he might make a special play or 2 tonight that could be the difference just because he is an athlete and can make things happen with his legs. He's also more likely to make the stuipid pick 6 that loses the game...but I think his play will impact the results more than McCarron. ALA will likely go with their steady dose of pound pound pound and toss in the occasional play action and trickeration. I feel like LSU has the edge on SPT as well as they have more dynamic return men and the Grass Eater always seems to pull a blocked punt/fake FG type play out in these big games. My pick is ALA simply because I think overall they are a better team, statistically they are a better team, and coaching wise they are a better team. But LSU has had that luck factor and big play ability all season long, why would it stop now?
CALL: BAMA 19 LSU 16
BAMA lovers = JR, MR, MH, MC, SS, RO, TN, GT - 8 guys on each side...truly a toss up.
Hope you're all able to watch tonight. I'm gathering with the neighborhood gang, who I watched the first LSU-ALA game with back in NOV. That night ended with over 2 liter of Crown cashed out, a case of beer, and for some reason a bottle of Almond Champagne...not sure what happenend there. Expecting more of the same this evening. It's the last NCAA game we'll get for 8 months so enjoy it!!
NFL PLAYOFFS
3 guys rode the 4 home teams to a perfect start in the NFL playoffs...JR, MC, MT are all sitting with 8 points after the first weekend. 12 points are available next weekend with each game being worth 3. There is no payout for NFL only, but it will be added to your Bowl Total to determine the overall post-season champ. Here are those standings with 1 Bowl game left and 7 playoff games left:
POST-SEASON W
CP 38
MT 37
JR 35
SS 33
MC 31
TN 31
GT 31
MR 30
LW 30
AW 29
MH 29
GR 28
RO 28
JG 26
JH 23
MO 21
MS 0
47 points still on the line, so I don't think anyone is officially out yet. The lines for the divisional games will be sent tomorrow.
Friday, January 6, 2012
NFL Playoff Picks & Weekend Bowl Picks
Wildcard weekend start tomorrow, so here are the picks for the weekend:
2 points for each game
CIN at HOU (-3)
5 on CIN (MR, GR, SS, GT, JH)...11 of us on HOU. This was a tough one, but the difference for me was HOU getting healthy (Johnson back at WR) and their defense. I've been a believer in the HOU D all season and playing their 1st ever playoff game at home will surely have everyone ready to go. CIN is a decent little club that actually looks a lot like HOU, but the way they backed their way into the playoffs doesn't give me very good vibes.
CALL: HOU WINS 23-17.
DET at NO (-11)
Split 8-8 on this one. 8 Kitty backers are as follows: JG, AW, RO, TN, GT, CP, LW, MO. Obviously, I hate giving this many points to a team that can score like DET, but nobody is playing like NO right now. If NO was on the road I would be scared, but in the Katrina Shelter they are almost unbeatable. They say you should only take the dog if you think they can win outright...well, I don't.
CALL: NO WINS 41-28.
ATL at NYG (-3)
This was the toughest pick of the week for me. It ended up being very lopsided for FC purposes with only 4 on ATL (GR, MH, JH, MO). What led me to take NYG was a couple of things. 1)Matt Ryan vs. Eli...give me Eli every day of the week. Ryan has not played a quality playoff game yet in his career home or road. 2) ATL on the road in the NY cold will not be nearly the team they are at home. I'm scared because every time I think the Giant have it together they flop and lose, but for some reason I feel like the playoff game will be different. If the NYG win, I feel like it sets up 2 really good games in the NFC next week with all 3 lower seeds having a chance against GB...and that's what I'm pulling for!
CALL: NYG 27-20.
PIT at DEN (+8)
Pretty even split here as well with 7 on PIT and 9 on TEBOW. PIT backers include AW, GR, MH, SS, GT, LW, JH. For me, this was the easiest pick of the week. I like DEN for a lot of reasons...1)PIT is banged up and doesn't score well enough to cover large lines like this. 2)Nobody is giving DEN a chance after the horrible end to the season, a large home dog who nobody is giving a chance...that's my kind of pick (SEA in 2011). I think this will be extremely low scoring and a really close game.
CALL: PIT 10-9.
Not real creative for me this week, picking the 4 home teams to cover and the 4 favorites to win outright. I'm not expecting a 4-0, but the numbers and the circumstances point me in this direction so we'll see what happens.
BOWL GAMES
I gave you the winnings scenarios yesterday, but here are how the picks shake out for the next few Bowl Game this weekend. Remember, these games are just as important as the Playoff games because all accumulated points go into the same bucket to determine the overall Post-Season Champ ($250).
KST vs. ARK (-7.5)
I really liked KST earlier on this one, but I ended up going with ARK. Most of you did the same thing as only 4 guys are on KST in this 2-pt game. JG, AW, RO, MO are backing old Bill Snyder and the Cats tonight. KST has thrived in the underdog role all year, but ARK isn't like the dregs of the B12. I think the Hogs out-athlete them and cover this number easily. Some extremely large cash came in yesterday on ARK that moved the line a full 2 pts from -7.5 to -9.5, so someone else must like them as well!
SMU vs. PITT (-5.5)
SMU has been a disappointment this year, and PITT has the revolving door at head coach. We have only 5 Mustang believers (MR, AW, MC, CP, MO). I took PITT, but if I bet it today I would take SMU. PITT just has so much turmoil with another coach abruptly leaving I can't see them getting up for this one. SMU can score a lot of points, so an unmotivated D could really get torched by them.
ARKST vs. NILL (+1)
Only 5 ARKST backer, and I am one of those. MR, TN, MT, LW join me on this one. I thin their D is far superior to NILL, which in my mind gives them a big edge. ARKST is actually a really good team, but the only tough part is that they lost their coach between the end of the season and the bowl game. But I think this team will be ready to handle the potent NILL attack, and anyone who watched NILL on a TUES/WED/THUR game this year knows that they will probably give up 50 without blinking.
We'll save the Title Game for Monday.
Good Luck to everyone this weekend!!
2 points for each game
CIN at HOU (-3)
5 on CIN (MR, GR, SS, GT, JH)...11 of us on HOU. This was a tough one, but the difference for me was HOU getting healthy (Johnson back at WR) and their defense. I've been a believer in the HOU D all season and playing their 1st ever playoff game at home will surely have everyone ready to go. CIN is a decent little club that actually looks a lot like HOU, but the way they backed their way into the playoffs doesn't give me very good vibes.
CALL: HOU WINS 23-17.
DET at NO (-11)
Split 8-8 on this one. 8 Kitty backers are as follows: JG, AW, RO, TN, GT, CP, LW, MO. Obviously, I hate giving this many points to a team that can score like DET, but nobody is playing like NO right now. If NO was on the road I would be scared, but in the Katrina Shelter they are almost unbeatable. They say you should only take the dog if you think they can win outright...well, I don't.
CALL: NO WINS 41-28.
ATL at NYG (-3)
This was the toughest pick of the week for me. It ended up being very lopsided for FC purposes with only 4 on ATL (GR, MH, JH, MO). What led me to take NYG was a couple of things. 1)Matt Ryan vs. Eli...give me Eli every day of the week. Ryan has not played a quality playoff game yet in his career home or road. 2) ATL on the road in the NY cold will not be nearly the team they are at home. I'm scared because every time I think the Giant have it together they flop and lose, but for some reason I feel like the playoff game will be different. If the NYG win, I feel like it sets up 2 really good games in the NFC next week with all 3 lower seeds having a chance against GB...and that's what I'm pulling for!
CALL: NYG 27-20.
PIT at DEN (+8)
Pretty even split here as well with 7 on PIT and 9 on TEBOW. PIT backers include AW, GR, MH, SS, GT, LW, JH. For me, this was the easiest pick of the week. I like DEN for a lot of reasons...1)PIT is banged up and doesn't score well enough to cover large lines like this. 2)Nobody is giving DEN a chance after the horrible end to the season, a large home dog who nobody is giving a chance...that's my kind of pick (SEA in 2011). I think this will be extremely low scoring and a really close game.
CALL: PIT 10-9.
Not real creative for me this week, picking the 4 home teams to cover and the 4 favorites to win outright. I'm not expecting a 4-0, but the numbers and the circumstances point me in this direction so we'll see what happens.
BOWL GAMES
I gave you the winnings scenarios yesterday, but here are how the picks shake out for the next few Bowl Game this weekend. Remember, these games are just as important as the Playoff games because all accumulated points go into the same bucket to determine the overall Post-Season Champ ($250).
KST vs. ARK (-7.5)
I really liked KST earlier on this one, but I ended up going with ARK. Most of you did the same thing as only 4 guys are on KST in this 2-pt game. JG, AW, RO, MO are backing old Bill Snyder and the Cats tonight. KST has thrived in the underdog role all year, but ARK isn't like the dregs of the B12. I think the Hogs out-athlete them and cover this number easily. Some extremely large cash came in yesterday on ARK that moved the line a full 2 pts from -7.5 to -9.5, so someone else must like them as well!
SMU vs. PITT (-5.5)
SMU has been a disappointment this year, and PITT has the revolving door at head coach. We have only 5 Mustang believers (MR, AW, MC, CP, MO). I took PITT, but if I bet it today I would take SMU. PITT just has so much turmoil with another coach abruptly leaving I can't see them getting up for this one. SMU can score a lot of points, so an unmotivated D could really get torched by them.
ARKST vs. NILL (+1)
Only 5 ARKST backer, and I am one of those. MR, TN, MT, LW join me on this one. I thin their D is far superior to NILL, which in my mind gives them a big edge. ARKST is actually a really good team, but the only tough part is that they lost their coach between the end of the season and the bowl game. But I think this team will be ready to handle the potent NILL attack, and anyone who watched NILL on a TUES/WED/THUR game this year knows that they will probably give up 50 without blinking.
We'll save the Title Game for Monday.
Good Luck to everyone this weekend!!
Thursday, January 5, 2012
Bowl Update - Thursday + Need Playoff Picks
Well I guess the 3.5 really didn't come into play last night! Wow, what a beatdown. Since most were on CLEM, the WV win changed the look of the standings quite a bit:
BOWLS W
CP 28
MT 27
SS 26
GT 26
JR 25
LW 24
AW 23
GR 23
TN 23
MH 22
MR 21
RO 21
JG 19
MC 19
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
CP is the current leader by a point over MT and by 2 over SS and GT. Here are some scenarios:
CP: ARK, SMU, NILL, LSU
MT: ARK, PITT, ARKST, LSU
SS: ARK, PITT, NILL, ALA
GT: ARK, PITT, NILL, ALA
SS and GT will remain tied throughout with the exact same picks left. The tiebreakers are as follows: 1)Most overall games correct, 2)Most BCS games correct. If those are both even, we'll call it a draw and split the pot...in the case of SS vs. GT they both have 19 games won, but SS has one more BCS victory so he would win the tiebreaker.
CP is one up on MT and they are different on both 1 point games...Cole needs 1 of these to beat Mike, if PITT/ARKST cover then MT beats CP. SS is the only other one with a shot at the crown. An ALA,PITT,NILL cover brings the Bowl Title to Steve. Steve would also win via tiebreaker with just an ALA cover, which would put him ahead of MT and tied with CP even if SMU covers. Tiebreaker would be = in total wins, but SS would win by having more BCS wins. So for CP and MT to have a shot they need LSU to cover and MT also needs PITT and ARKST to cover.
In summary, ARK games is meaningless for determining the Bowl Champ.
1. SMU cover = MT eliminated, PITT cover = all 3 alive
2. ARKST cover = CP eliminated(w/PITT cover), NILL cover = MT eliminated
3. ALA cover = SS wins via tiebreak, LSU cover = CP/MT win
That's it in a nutshell. Every game will mean something going forward.
NEED PICKS FROM...
ROE
BOMB
GREG
CORCORAN
STEVE
TAIT
M.THOMAS
LUKE
HAMMER
OGE
Please send them over today so we're set for Saturday and Sunday's games.
Thanks.
BOWLS W
CP 28
MT 27
SS 26
GT 26
JR 25
LW 24
AW 23
GR 23
TN 23
MH 22
MR 21
RO 21
JG 19
MC 19
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
CP is the current leader by a point over MT and by 2 over SS and GT. Here are some scenarios:
CP: ARK, SMU, NILL, LSU
MT: ARK, PITT, ARKST, LSU
SS: ARK, PITT, NILL, ALA
GT: ARK, PITT, NILL, ALA
SS and GT will remain tied throughout with the exact same picks left. The tiebreakers are as follows: 1)Most overall games correct, 2)Most BCS games correct. If those are both even, we'll call it a draw and split the pot...in the case of SS vs. GT they both have 19 games won, but SS has one more BCS victory so he would win the tiebreaker.
CP is one up on MT and they are different on both 1 point games...Cole needs 1 of these to beat Mike, if PITT/ARKST cover then MT beats CP. SS is the only other one with a shot at the crown. An ALA,PITT,NILL cover brings the Bowl Title to Steve. Steve would also win via tiebreaker with just an ALA cover, which would put him ahead of MT and tied with CP even if SMU covers. Tiebreaker would be = in total wins, but SS would win by having more BCS wins. So for CP and MT to have a shot they need LSU to cover and MT also needs PITT and ARKST to cover.
In summary, ARK games is meaningless for determining the Bowl Champ.
1. SMU cover = MT eliminated, PITT cover = all 3 alive
2. ARKST cover = CP eliminated(w/PITT cover), NILL cover = MT eliminated
3. ALA cover = SS wins via tiebreak, LSU cover = CP/MT win
That's it in a nutshell. Every game will mean something going forward.
NEED PICKS FROM...
ROE
BOMB
GREG
CORCORAN
STEVE
TAIT
M.THOMAS
LUKE
HAMMER
OGE
Please send them over today so we're set for Saturday and Sunday's games.
Thanks.
Wednesday, January 4, 2012
Bowl Update - Wednesday
Another 1/2 point decision in a BCS game...greatest Bowl Season Ever!?!?
Tonight we have the 4th installment, and based on the line we could see another 1/2 point decision.
Here are the current standings:
BOWLS W
MT 27
GT 26
CP 25
AW 23
GR 23
SS 23
TN 23
JR 22
MH 22
MR 21
RO 21
LW 21
JG 19
MC 19
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
Holy horse race Batman! With 10 possible points left, we have 9 guys within 5 points of the lead.
Another big 3 point game tonight...
WV vs. CLEM (-3.5)
Only 4 of us on WV, I am one of those. SS, CP, LW are joining me in rooting for the couch burners tonight. I think it will be close, WV has the defensive edge, and they just need their O to keep up with CLEM. I give the QB edge to CLEM, but the D and coaching edge to WV. I'm hoping for OT, +3.5 is almost a guarantee in OT...right? We'll see tonight.
Quick side note on the Vadgers Rose Bowl dreams being squashed again. I've read so many things and heard so many people say over the last couple of days that it's so pathetic that MN fans are celebrating the WIS loss. Really? I cheer for WIS and IOWA to lose every week, so why would it be any different in a Bowl Game? It's a rivalry...it's fueled on dislike for the other team. My lovely wife, who just this year has discovered her evil Becky/Hogeye taunting side, sent a simple text to 1 of only about 2 or 3 Vadger fans that I call a friend. She simply said "Quack, Quack" after the spike with no time left. Apparently, it was not appreciated as his wife, who works with Anna, said he came upstairs and said..."tell your Anna to go F*ck Off!" So now I ask, why do you think we continue to mock and ridicule you Vadger/Hogeye fans? Because it's too easy and you can't handle it...that's why. Obviously, both of your teams are better than mine right now, great I'm fine with that. But to get so angry over a little jab after a tough game seems ridiculous. Am I shocked...No. Vadger fans (note he's only been a fan since he went to school there so not an actual lifer fan...a.k.a...he's liked them since they've been good) have been living on such a high and mighty perch for the last few years that I think they deserve everything that is coming to them. I told her to send him a quick note last night asking if he wanted to borrow my copies of IOWA beating WIS and Sparty beating WIS in hoops both in Madison. She declined, so I guess she is not at the max level of Gopher fandom quite yet, but she's off to a great start this year! His excuse apparently was he was having beers...k. I'm as passionate about football as anyone, but freaking out and screaming at your "friends" because they took advantage of an opportunity to take a shot at your club is really not cool. Clearly, he can't handle a rivalry if he's not coming out ahead, which is sad. Maybe he just knows this was the last shot for a while with no Superman free agent QB's coming to town, an OC and OL coach that are leaving, and Buckeye Nation likely to grow into the strongest B1G team year in and year out. Greatest Vadger team I've seen...and they could only go 9-3. Maybe a couple of 4-8's will bring that whole crew back to reality...the hoops team staring a 1-4 B1G start in the face will certainly help start the slide!
Tonight we have the 4th installment, and based on the line we could see another 1/2 point decision.
Here are the current standings:
BOWLS W
MT 27
GT 26
CP 25
AW 23
GR 23
SS 23
TN 23
JR 22
MH 22
MR 21
RO 21
LW 21
JG 19
MC 19
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
Holy horse race Batman! With 10 possible points left, we have 9 guys within 5 points of the lead.
Another big 3 point game tonight...
WV vs. CLEM (-3.5)
Only 4 of us on WV, I am one of those. SS, CP, LW are joining me in rooting for the couch burners tonight. I think it will be close, WV has the defensive edge, and they just need their O to keep up with CLEM. I give the QB edge to CLEM, but the D and coaching edge to WV. I'm hoping for OT, +3.5 is almost a guarantee in OT...right? We'll see tonight.
Quick side note on the Vadgers Rose Bowl dreams being squashed again. I've read so many things and heard so many people say over the last couple of days that it's so pathetic that MN fans are celebrating the WIS loss. Really? I cheer for WIS and IOWA to lose every week, so why would it be any different in a Bowl Game? It's a rivalry...it's fueled on dislike for the other team. My lovely wife, who just this year has discovered her evil Becky/Hogeye taunting side, sent a simple text to 1 of only about 2 or 3 Vadger fans that I call a friend. She simply said "Quack, Quack" after the spike with no time left. Apparently, it was not appreciated as his wife, who works with Anna, said he came upstairs and said..."tell your Anna to go F*ck Off!" So now I ask, why do you think we continue to mock and ridicule you Vadger/Hogeye fans? Because it's too easy and you can't handle it...that's why. Obviously, both of your teams are better than mine right now, great I'm fine with that. But to get so angry over a little jab after a tough game seems ridiculous. Am I shocked...No. Vadger fans (note he's only been a fan since he went to school there so not an actual lifer fan...a.k.a...he's liked them since they've been good) have been living on such a high and mighty perch for the last few years that I think they deserve everything that is coming to them. I told her to send him a quick note last night asking if he wanted to borrow my copies of IOWA beating WIS and Sparty beating WIS in hoops both in Madison. She declined, so I guess she is not at the max level of Gopher fandom quite yet, but she's off to a great start this year! His excuse apparently was he was having beers...k. I'm as passionate about football as anyone, but freaking out and screaming at your "friends" because they took advantage of an opportunity to take a shot at your club is really not cool. Clearly, he can't handle a rivalry if he's not coming out ahead, which is sad. Maybe he just knows this was the last shot for a while with no Superman free agent QB's coming to town, an OC and OL coach that are leaving, and Buckeye Nation likely to grow into the strongest B1G team year in and year out. Greatest Vadger team I've seen...and they could only go 9-3. Maybe a couple of 4-8's will bring that whole crew back to reality...the hoops team staring a 1-4 B1G start in the face will certainly help start the slide!
Tuesday, January 3, 2012
Wildcard Playoff Lines
Here are the lines for opening weekend of the NFL Playoffs. The Playoffs in total are worth 50 points (same as the Bowl Season). The Wildcard games are worth 2 points each, Division Rounds are worth 3 points each, Championship Games are 5 points each, and the Super Bowl is worth 10 and there will also be 10 prop bets worth 1 point each for Super Bowl week.
Here are the Wildcard Lines - send me your pick in each of these games this week:
CIN
HOU -3
DET
NO -11
ATL
NYG -3
PIT
DEN 8
Good Luck!!
Here are the Wildcard Lines - send me your pick in each of these games this week:
CIN
HOU -3
DET
NO -11
ATL
NYG -3
PIT
DEN 8
Good Luck!!
Bowl Update
Crazy set of games yesterday with each 3 pt. game being decided by 1/2 of a point.
CURRENT STANDINGS
BOWLS W
GT 26
MT 24
SS 23
MH 22
CP 22
RO 21
AW 20
GR 20
TN 20
JR 19
JG 19
MC 19
MR 18
LW 18
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
George and Mike Thomas sit at the top, but we still have 13 possible points left.
It starts tonight with a 3 point game between MICH (-2.5) and VT. We are split 8-8 on this one. GT is on VT, MT is on MICH. Other MICH backers include: JR, AW, GR, TN, CP, LW.
Remember, just because you might not win the Bowl Challenge, you still want to accumulate as many points as you can because the Bowl total will be added to your NFL Playoff total to determine the overall Post-Season winner. At this point, it sure is looking like it will come down to the ALA-LSU game, which we are split 8-8 on as well. After tonight, we have 5 games left, and besides the ALA-LSU we have decided favorites in the rest by 12-4 or 11-5 margins. With this many games left the scenarios are too many to count, but by the weekend I should be able to have something worked out.
NFL Playoff Lines coming shortly...
CURRENT STANDINGS
BOWLS W
GT 26
MT 24
SS 23
MH 22
CP 22
RO 21
AW 20
GR 20
TN 20
JR 19
JG 19
MC 19
MR 18
LW 18
JH 18
MO 15
MS 0
George and Mike Thomas sit at the top, but we still have 13 possible points left.
It starts tonight with a 3 point game between MICH (-2.5) and VT. We are split 8-8 on this one. GT is on VT, MT is on MICH. Other MICH backers include: JR, AW, GR, TN, CP, LW.
Remember, just because you might not win the Bowl Challenge, you still want to accumulate as many points as you can because the Bowl total will be added to your NFL Playoff total to determine the overall Post-Season winner. At this point, it sure is looking like it will come down to the ALA-LSU game, which we are split 8-8 on as well. After tonight, we have 5 games left, and besides the ALA-LSU we have decided favorites in the rest by 12-4 or 11-5 margins. With this many games left the scenarios are too many to count, but by the weekend I should be able to have something worked out.
NFL Playoff Lines coming shortly...
Monday, January 2, 2012
Regular Season Final Standings and Bowl Game Update
The NYG handled DAL last night and kept it at a total of only 45, so GR took home the $200 for the week 18 tiebreaker. With the DAL loss, CP also missed out on a potential 2nd place tie and TN took home the $100 for 2nd place on the season. Here are the final standings for the entire regular season:
2011 SEASON W L %
SS 137 113 54.8%
TN 136 114 54.4%
CP 134 116 53.6%
GR 134 116 53.6%
JH 134 116 53.6%
MR 133 117 53.2%
MT 128 122 51.2%
MO 125 125 50.0%
MH 123 127 49.2%
RO 123 127 49.2%
GT 123 127 49.2%
JG 123 127 49.2%
JR 122 128 48.8%
AW 122 128 48.8%
LW 118 132 47.2%
MC 116 134 46.4%
MS 63 187 25.2%
We hit 50.8% for the year (not including MS).
$$$ payouts for the regular season look like this:
SS-$350
GR-$200
TN-$150
MH-$100
MR-$100
GT-$100
MS-$100
MO-$50
JR-$50
MT-$50
AW-$50
JH-$50
Shutout for the regular season: RO, CP, LW, MC, JG
But that's over, so let's move on to the Post-Season Challenge, where an additonal $350 is up fro grabs ($250 for overall 1st, $100 for Bowl Game Champ).
BOWL STANDINGS
BOWLS W
MH 15
SS 15
RO 15
MR 14
AW 14
TN 14
LW 14
GT 14
GR 13
CP 13
MT 13
JH 13
JR 12
MC 12
JG 11
MO 11
MS 0
This is through 23 games and 23 possible points. 14 points are available today in the 6 games that are on tap. Another 13 points will be available for the next week. Only 2 guys under .500 right now, and that's only by 1 game...so pretty strong showing so far, but can we do it for the big games that start today?
STAN-OKST (-3.5) 3 point game
4 on STAN and 12 on OKST, including me. SS is on STAN, he's one of the co-leaders. I haven't been on the STAN bandwagon all year, and I love OKST this year...so I didn't see any reason to change now. STAN backers include JG, SS, GT, JH.
WIS-ORE (-6.5) 3 point game
7 on Becky, 9 on DUCKS. 2 of the leaders on DUCKS and 1 on Vadgers. I have DUCKS, but the more I think about it the more I think 6.5 is too high. Oh well, at least I can to cheer for the right side! QUACK!! Becky lovers are MR, AW, RO, TN, LW, JH, MO.
OHIOST-FLA (-2) 2 point game
10 on Buckeyes, 6 on Gators. I'm on OHIOST, FLA is just too much of a wreck on offense for me to think they have a prayer of scoring against the Bucks. I'm sure Urban's provided as many helpful hints as he could about his old club going into this one as well. I think Buckeyes start the momentum train rolling into next year with an easy win today. FLA supporters include AW, MC, RO, MT, GT, LW.
NEB-SC (-1.5) 2 point game
Even split of 8 and 8 on this one. Honestly, this looks like the easiest pick on the board for me. I have not been impressed with team Corn all year, and that SC defense might not allow any points today. Not that SC has a great offense, but I don't think they'll struggle at all today in a low scoring easy win.
MSU-GEO (-4) 2 point game
12 on Sparty and only 4 on GEO. GEO supporters include MR, GR, MC, LW. I really like Sparty here too. I think they've made the jump from annually being a talented disappointment to becoming a team that can win big games and will get another one today.
PSU-HOU (-5) 2 point game
No clue what will happen on this one. We have 6 on PSU and 10 on HOU. I'm on PSU with JG, MC, SS, JH, MO. I guess it comes down to defense for me, like it usually does. However, I'm not sure if PSU will come out inspired or just bored and ready to move from this year into 2012. HOU lost their coach as well, so I feel like this could be a lop-sided one either way.
After today, we have 1 game a day (except THUR) for the next week, so it will be an interesting finish. It's seaparation Monday, so good luck to everyone.
2011 SEASON W L %
SS 137 113 54.8%
TN 136 114 54.4%
CP 134 116 53.6%
GR 134 116 53.6%
JH 134 116 53.6%
MR 133 117 53.2%
MT 128 122 51.2%
MO 125 125 50.0%
MH 123 127 49.2%
RO 123 127 49.2%
GT 123 127 49.2%
JG 123 127 49.2%
JR 122 128 48.8%
AW 122 128 48.8%
LW 118 132 47.2%
MC 116 134 46.4%
MS 63 187 25.2%
We hit 50.8% for the year (not including MS).
$$$ payouts for the regular season look like this:
SS-$350
GR-$200
TN-$150
MH-$100
MR-$100
GT-$100
MS-$100
MO-$50
JR-$50
MT-$50
AW-$50
JH-$50
Shutout for the regular season: RO, CP, LW, MC, JG
But that's over, so let's move on to the Post-Season Challenge, where an additonal $350 is up fro grabs ($250 for overall 1st, $100 for Bowl Game Champ).
BOWL STANDINGS
BOWLS W
MH 15
SS 15
RO 15
MR 14
AW 14
TN 14
LW 14
GT 14
GR 13
CP 13
MT 13
JH 13
JR 12
MC 12
JG 11
MO 11
MS 0
This is through 23 games and 23 possible points. 14 points are available today in the 6 games that are on tap. Another 13 points will be available for the next week. Only 2 guys under .500 right now, and that's only by 1 game...so pretty strong showing so far, but can we do it for the big games that start today?
STAN-OKST (-3.5) 3 point game
4 on STAN and 12 on OKST, including me. SS is on STAN, he's one of the co-leaders. I haven't been on the STAN bandwagon all year, and I love OKST this year...so I didn't see any reason to change now. STAN backers include JG, SS, GT, JH.
WIS-ORE (-6.5) 3 point game
7 on Becky, 9 on DUCKS. 2 of the leaders on DUCKS and 1 on Vadgers. I have DUCKS, but the more I think about it the more I think 6.5 is too high. Oh well, at least I can to cheer for the right side! QUACK!! Becky lovers are MR, AW, RO, TN, LW, JH, MO.
OHIOST-FLA (-2) 2 point game
10 on Buckeyes, 6 on Gators. I'm on OHIOST, FLA is just too much of a wreck on offense for me to think they have a prayer of scoring against the Bucks. I'm sure Urban's provided as many helpful hints as he could about his old club going into this one as well. I think Buckeyes start the momentum train rolling into next year with an easy win today. FLA supporters include AW, MC, RO, MT, GT, LW.
NEB-SC (-1.5) 2 point game
Even split of 8 and 8 on this one. Honestly, this looks like the easiest pick on the board for me. I have not been impressed with team Corn all year, and that SC defense might not allow any points today. Not that SC has a great offense, but I don't think they'll struggle at all today in a low scoring easy win.
MSU-GEO (-4) 2 point game
12 on Sparty and only 4 on GEO. GEO supporters include MR, GR, MC, LW. I really like Sparty here too. I think they've made the jump from annually being a talented disappointment to becoming a team that can win big games and will get another one today.
PSU-HOU (-5) 2 point game
No clue what will happen on this one. We have 6 on PSU and 10 on HOU. I'm on PSU with JG, MC, SS, JH, MO. I guess it comes down to defense for me, like it usually does. However, I'm not sure if PSU will come out inspired or just bored and ready to move from this year into 2012. HOU lost their coach as well, so I feel like this could be a lop-sided one either way.
After today, we have 1 game a day (except THUR) for the next week, so it will be an interesting finish. It's seaparation Monday, so good luck to everyone.
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Week 18 Pre-SNF Update
Some wild ones today, but here's the latest look:
WEEK 18
Week 18 W L %
GR 6 3 66.7%
JH 6 3 66.7%
CP 5 4 55.6%
GT 5 4 55.6%
JR 4 5 44.4%
JG 4 5 44.4%
MR 4 5 44.4%
AW 4 5 44.4%
SS 4 5 44.4%
TN 3 6 33.3%
MS 3 6 33.3%
MC 3 7 30.0%
LW 3 7 30.0%
MH 2 7 22.2%
RO 2 7 22.2%
MO 2 7 22.2%
MT 2 7 22.2%
So here's the deal, GR and JH both have NYG...so a NYG cover = a tie between those 2 that would come down to the tiebreaker. GR has 44, JH has 56. GT also has NYG, so he can not catch the leaders. However, if DAL cover the +2.5 then CP would create a 3 way tie for the win for Week 18 and the tiebreaker numbers are as follows:
GR-44
JH-56
CP-41
It's going to be a crazy finish for week 18.
As for the overall title, we have declared a champion. Steve Schuft, wihtout winning a single week on his own this year, is your overall Champ. He has a 1 game lead on TN, and they both have NYG tonight...so congrats to Steve. Tait will either take 2nd all to himself, or a DAL cover would force a 2nd place overall split between Tait and Cole. GR and JH are both a game behind Cole, and MR is a game behind them.
So there you go - tonight will wrap up the regular season of the Football Challenge. I'll throw out a Bowl Update with picks and standings for tomorrow before the games start.
It sounds like after 6+ hours of football today, I'm being strong armed into a viewing of the "Little Rascals" tonight over DAL-NYG, so I'll be a phone follower.
Good Luck to everyone with a dog left in the fight!! Congrats again to Steve on his 54.4% season and $350 payday!!
WEEK 18
Week 18 W L %
GR 6 3 66.7%
JH 6 3 66.7%
CP 5 4 55.6%
GT 5 4 55.6%
JR 4 5 44.4%
JG 4 5 44.4%
MR 4 5 44.4%
AW 4 5 44.4%
SS 4 5 44.4%
TN 3 6 33.3%
MS 3 6 33.3%
MC 3 7 30.0%
LW 3 7 30.0%
MH 2 7 22.2%
RO 2 7 22.2%
MO 2 7 22.2%
MT 2 7 22.2%
So here's the deal, GR and JH both have NYG...so a NYG cover = a tie between those 2 that would come down to the tiebreaker. GR has 44, JH has 56. GT also has NYG, so he can not catch the leaders. However, if DAL cover the +2.5 then CP would create a 3 way tie for the win for Week 18 and the tiebreaker numbers are as follows:
GR-44
JH-56
CP-41
It's going to be a crazy finish for week 18.
As for the overall title, we have declared a champion. Steve Schuft, wihtout winning a single week on his own this year, is your overall Champ. He has a 1 game lead on TN, and they both have NYG tonight...so congrats to Steve. Tait will either take 2nd all to himself, or a DAL cover would force a 2nd place overall split between Tait and Cole. GR and JH are both a game behind Cole, and MR is a game behind them.
So there you go - tonight will wrap up the regular season of the Football Challenge. I'll throw out a Bowl Update with picks and standings for tomorrow before the games start.
It sounds like after 6+ hours of football today, I'm being strong armed into a viewing of the "Little Rascals" tonight over DAL-NYG, so I'll be a phone follower.
Good Luck to everyone with a dog left in the fight!! Congrats again to Steve on his 54.4% season and $350 payday!!
Week 18 Update through 12pm Games
Here's the weekly stats through the 12pm games:
Wk 18 W L %
GR 4 1 80.0%
CP 3 2 60.0%
GT 4 3 57.1%
JH 4 3 57.1%
JG 3 3 50.0%
MR 3 3 50.0%
AW 2 3 40.0%
MS 2 3 40.0%
MC 3 5 37.5%
LW 3 5 37.5%
SS 2 4 33.3%
RO 2 4 33.3%
MO 2 5 28.6%
JR 1 3 25.0%
MT 1 5 16.7%
TN 1 6 14.3%
MH 0 5 0.0%
38.8% for the early games...wow, that's not good. We've also got quite a race going for the overall title right now:
YTD W
SS 134
TN 133
CP 132
MR 131
GR 131
JH 131
MT 126
MO 124
RO 122
JG 122
MH 121
GT 121
AW 119
LW 118
JR 118
MC 116
MS 62
SS has 4 games left, TN has 3 games left, CP has 5 left, MR has 4 left, GR has 5 left.
More updates coming later - I'll try and figure out some scenarios for both Week 18 and the Overall.
Wk 18 W L %
GR 4 1 80.0%
CP 3 2 60.0%
GT 4 3 57.1%
JH 4 3 57.1%
JG 3 3 50.0%
MR 3 3 50.0%
AW 2 3 40.0%
MS 2 3 40.0%
MC 3 5 37.5%
LW 3 5 37.5%
SS 2 4 33.3%
RO 2 4 33.3%
MO 2 5 28.6%
JR 1 3 25.0%
MT 1 5 16.7%
TN 1 6 14.3%
MH 0 5 0.0%
38.8% for the early games...wow, that's not good. We've also got quite a race going for the overall title right now:
YTD W
SS 134
TN 133
CP 132
MR 131
GR 131
JH 131
MT 126
MO 124
RO 122
JG 122
MH 121
GT 121
AW 119
LW 118
JR 118
MC 116
MS 62
SS has 4 games left, TN has 3 games left, CP has 5 left, MR has 4 left, GR has 5 left.
More updates coming later - I'll try and figure out some scenarios for both Week 18 and the Overall.
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