17 guys - all in on time this week...nice work fellas! Here's what it looks like for the 5 days ahead:
JR: WV CIN UCF NAVY OHIO BOISE TCU UTAH FLA TEN WAS IND DAL CIN ATL
JG: MN TEX UCONN PITT EMU NILL DAL ATL SEA JAC OAK CAR CLE KC NE
MR: GT MN WIS TT OK CIN ND BOISE USC ALA JAC WAS BAL PHI NYG
AW: MN WIS OK BOISE ALA LSU AUB OLE DAL ATL CLE NE MIN CHI HOU
GR: WIS MSU OK OKST BOISE WASH ASU STAN LSU ATL NE CHI BAL NYG TB
MH: BC WIS MSU MN IOWA NEB OK BOISE LSU AUB ATL NE BAL MIN IND
MC: ILL CIN UCF UAB OHIO BGU WMU BOISE COLST NEV BAL CHI CLE KC ARI
SS: MARY WIS MN BOISE TCU STAN USC BAL KC NE MIN DAL HOU NO GB
RO: NEB PSU OKST TEX BOISE STAN USC UTAH FLA BAL NE HOU GB PHI BUF
TN: FSU WIS MSU WV HOU NAVY BOISE WASH FLA LSU BAL MIN DAL CLE PIT
MT: FSU MARY WIS MN IOWA TEX AUB MISST CLE PHI KC ARI NYG SEA CAR
GT: WIS MN MSU PSU PITT PHI NYG SEA BAL DAL TB OAK DET DEN SD
MS: GT IOWA TEX SYR BOISE MISST PHI BAL OAK DET ARI CAR NE HOU NO
CP: MIA MSU ILL ARMY TEM WASH USC COL UCLA LSU PHI BAL NYG DAL MIN
LW: OK A&M USC NTEX SC PHI BAL DAL MIN NE CLE KC PIT GB CIN
JH: WIS PSU NEB A&M TCU STAN SC LSU FLA ARK BAL DAL NE GB NYG
MO: WIS MSU MN WV HOU BOISE STAN AUB ALA IDAHO BAL DAL GB CHI MIA
13 was the winner in week 1, 11 won in week 2, what will it take in week 3?
ALL IN ON THESE GAMES
In NCAA I'm ALL IN this week on BOISE -17.5 at TOLEDO. BOISE minus anything is not a bad play...ever. This week they only have to cover 2.5 TD's, and they are playing a team that would have been able to call off the season and be content if they would have won over OHIOST last week. But they came close, and from what we know about little guys that almost knock off a big guy only to lose a heartbreaker...they get hung over the next week, like 3 bottles of wine on a Tuesday hung over. So I know TOLEDO is a nice little squad, but to get up 2 weeks in a row is not going to happen. What did BOISE do last week...BYE, another sure fire sign of a good bet. A great coach coming off a BYE in a potentially tough road game. Mark it down...BOSIE WINS 44-17.
In NFL, yep, 2 locks of the century from now on, I don't say it or think it often but I love the COWBOYS. DAL is -2.5 at SF. SF beat TJACK last week, so that's like coming off a BYE. DAL should have beat NYJ last week if Romo wouldn't have made a couple of brutal plays late. This DAL team is pretty solid, and this 49er team is praying for 15 more losses and a certain new Stanford QB on the roster next year. DAL will roll in this one because they are that much better and they are desperate...'BOYS WIN 34-10.
HEAD SCRATCHER OF THE WEEK
I'm 2-0 in calling out questionable selections this year, so let the run continue. Picture this, Team 1 has lost to a 1AA team and been housed by a good BCS team. Team 2 has lost at home to a decent BCS team and got crushed on the road at a mid-major and is missing their best player for the 3rd week in a row. Team 2 is favored by 7.5. It's not so much that I don't like HEINERT'S pick of BC over DUKE this week, it's just a questioning of why this game? Both of these teams have looked worse than awful so far and this seems to be one of the most unpredictable games on the slate this week. How BC can be giving 7.5 to anyone this side of LeRoy-Ostrander I do not know. Good Luck Mark - if you actually watch this game you should get a trophy!
GOOD LUCK ON THAT ACE...
Who's living dangerously this week?
JG-UCONN (love this pick!!)
JG-EMU
MC-BGSU
CP-TEMPLE (shocked that nobody else is on this one)
MC-WMU (I like CMU here)
AW-OLE MISS (over/under on turnovers in this game at 9)
MH-BC
MC-COLST
CP-COL (I favor the BUFFS here...sorry MC)
CP-UCLA (Pac-12 homer pick)
MR-ND (ballsy, but I like it)
MR-TT (they were my 16th game)
CP-ARMY
JG-NILL (Becky Hate is alive and well, I actually love this pick this week)
MC-NEV
MC-UAB
MO-IDAHO
GR-ASU (how can you pick against the ZOOKER!?)
JH-ARK
LW-NTEX (+46!! Take a knee!!!! Run the clock!!)
CP-MIA (only on brave enough to bet the Ineligi-Bowl)
MS-SYR
NFL
JR-TEN (only 13 of you on BAL!!)
RO-BUF (I like it, OAK on a short week and cross country road trip for 12:00 game, nice pick)
GT-DEN (WWTD, what would Tebow do)
MO-MIA (love this pick, they win outright over HOU this week)
GT-SD
UPSET ALERT
These went a stellar 1-5 last week in straight up wins, but we'll try again...large dogs that could win outright so bet the moneyline!!
CMU +6.5 at WMU
MSU +5.5 at ND
NILL +16 at WIS
UTAH +6.5 at BYU
AZ +10 hosting STAN
TEN +4 hosting BAL
CIN +5.5 at DEN
6 for 6 would rock, but I'd take 3 for 6 and still be ahead.
BIG GAMES...BIG OPINIONS
Chiming in on the biggest and best games of the weekend, and a couple that don't:
LSU-MISSST +3
Cowbells are coming off a letdown at AUB, Tigers are off a scrimmage with a 1AA team...I'll take LSU in a slugfest, remember this is still a good home SEC dog...LSU 21-17.
MSU-ND -5.5
Sparty is off to their typical quick start, ND is being ND. 10 turnovers, 5 of those in the redzone...unreal. Will the trend stop this week and the Irish put it all together? I don't think I would bet on it...MSU 34-31.
TN-FLA -8.5
This could be good, and I was actually thinking this number was way too high earlier this week. Then I watched the CIN-TN game from last week late one evening, and totally changed my mind. TN has the offense, there is not doubt. The Gators might have the offense, I think that's still TBD. But on the other side of the ball it's a huge mismatch. Gators D is athletically top 3 in the nation and they have a defensive minded HC. TN is a major work in progress and I woulnd't trust them to stop Granada Huntley at this point. The lack of line movement leads me to believe this is correct and GATORS WILL ROLL 38-14.
OHIOST-MIA -2.5
Funny how this game is so far off the radar this week that I kind of forgot it was even happening. The 2 biggest cheaters of the off-season full of scandal meet in Miami. I still don't think UFC wannabe Luke Fickell is worth a damn as a coach and their talent isn't as elite with all the losses. Miami I think is desperate, they are getting their QB back, they have a good coach, and they are coming off a tough loss and a BYE week. Everything is pointing Canes in this one so I'll say MIAMI WINS 27-21.
OK-FSU +3.5
Noles are seeking revenge for the beatdown they took in Norman last year and finally trying to get the win they have been looking for over the last 8 years to say FSU Football is back. OK going on the road, where they are historically not good, with one of the best teams in the nation off a convincing win and a BYE week. I like Stoops and I'll put him in the "good coach" category that takes advantage of an extra week of prep for a big game. FSU still doesn't feel like a legit Top 5-8 team like some people keep telling me. Getting points at home feels like a good play, but it's also their first real game after going through 2 walkthroughs the last couple of weeks. Taking OK on the road is a sure way to bankruptcy, but I'm doing it...BOOMER SOONER WINS 35-24.
MIAOH at GOPHERS -3
Sounds like Coach Kill will be back and hopefully the team will be as well. I fell like they will play better this week after the disappointing performance last Saturday. MIAOH is better than NMST, and they are coming in off a BYE. Not a lot of analysis on this one this week...I think the Gophers rebound and MIAOH'S 1st year coach on the road runs into the emotional buzzsaw of Coach Kill's return...GOPHERS WIN 27-17.
NFL
TB at PURPLE -3.5
Well, they better win this one or it could be a long year. Not that this is an easy game, but starting 0-2 can be hazardous to your health. Josh Freeman and TB always keep it close, so you know it will be a nailbiter, which is why I don't think anyone in their right mind can give 3.5 this week...PURPLE WIN 21-20.
Other NFL thoughts...really thought about giving the 14.5 with PIT this week. Good team that was embarassed, SEA traveling cross country for an early game, TJACK against Tomlin D...but I HATE giving that many point in any game so I abstained but don't think it's a bad pick.
The whole world (at least the FOOTBALL CHALLENGE) loves BAL this week at TEN -4 after last week's beatdown of PIT. That is precisely why I'm going the other way. BAL put everything into that game including running up the score uneccessarily, which Tomlin won't forget. TEN looked terrible against JAC, which is all the more reason to love them this week. BAL is not as good as they looked, TEN is not as bad as they looked and they are more focused for this week sitting at 0-1. If Fisher was the coach I would LOVE LOVE LOVE them this week, but I think Munchak will get the job done.
WAS will go 2-0. ARI is not that good, and WAS will play them tough this week. Another west coast heading east for an early game play. LOVE WASH this week.
OAK at BUF - yet another west coast heading east for an early game. OAK was impressive last week as was BUF. OAK is on a short week and travelling cross-country and playing a noon game. Too many things against them here...take BUF or abstain.
CHI-NO - Bears are not as good as they looked and it will be proven this week in NO. I wouldn't give 8, but love it in a tease down to -2!!
CLE-IND - The Browns cost this guy his suicide pool last week, they didn't look good. IND was embarassed and is anxious to prove they have something without Peyton. Love them at +3 at home this week.
KC-DET -9.5! I know KC is bad and DET is pretty good, but 9.5!!??!? Feels heavy to me, not that I like KC at all, but I don't think it should be that big.
CIN-DEN -5.5 - CIN plays D, and hopefully Dalton is out again so Gradkowski can play. DEN looked worse than any team in the league, in my opinion, last week. How do they score on this CIN D? Answer...they don't. BUNGALS win outright.
HOU-MIA +2.5 - You know I like the Fins...they win this one over a HOU team that still hasn't stopped slapping themselves on the back after last week.
SD-NE -7 - Brady in the regular season...unreal. SD typically plays them well, so I stayed away, but it looks like a lot of NE love from this crew.
PHI-ATL +1 - dogfight in ATL...ATL is desperate and Vick will be overwhelmed. ATL wins.
STL-NYG -4.5 - I was surprised on how much love there was for NYG this week, but I kind of agree. STL is a walking injury report, and NYG are getting healthy and desperate at home...NYG win and cover.
And I'm spent. Good Luck this week guys - hope everyone is able to tune in tonight to LSU-MISST, should/could be a classic.
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