Tuesday, November 8, 2011

Week 11 Lines

2 games without lines right now...SC-FLA in NCAA and ARI-PHI in NFL. Lots of MACtion this week as well, and THUR NFL starts. Get me your Tues-Wed picks before the games start if you want those games.


NILL
BGU 7 TUES

WMU
TOL -9.5 TUES

MIAOH
TEM -14 WED

OHIO
CMU 5 THUR

VT
GT -1 THUR

HOU
TULANE 33 THUR

USF
SYR 4 FRI

RICE
NW -15.5

PITT
LOU -3.5

TEX
MIZZ 1.5

MARSH
TULSA -17

NEB
PSU 3

WF
CLEM -19.5

WV
CIN -3.5

MSU
IOWA 3

OHIOST
PUR 7.5

FLA
SC

OKST
TT 18

UK
VAN -12.5

NCST
BC 2.5

BUFF
EMU -3

NTEX
TROY -8

KENT
AKR 6.5

BAY
KAN 17.5

WY
AF -14

AZ
COL 13.5

DUKE
VIR -8.5

ULL
ARKST -9.5

SJST
UTST -11

MIA
FSU -10

AUB
GEO -12.5

WIS
MN 28.5

MICH
ILL 3

A&M
KST 3

MDTN
ULM -5.5

NAVY
SMU -7

WASH
USC -13.5

TCU
BOISE -15.5

RUT
ARMY 8.5

UAB
MEM 7.5

TN
ARK -14

FAU
FIU -18.5

SDST
COLST 14.5

OREST
CAL -9.5

UCLA
UTAH -7.5

WKY
LSU -42

LT
OLE -1.5

MARY
ND -19

ALA
MISST 18

ORE
STAN -3

FRES
NMST 8.5

UCF
SOMISS -10.5

ECU
UTEP -3.5
\
IDAHO
BYU -19.5

UNLV
NM 8.5

HAW
NEV -10

ASU
WASU 12.5

OAK
SD -8

JAC
IND 3

DEN
KC -3.5

NFL

PIT
CIN 3 thur

BUF
DAL -5

NO
ATL 1

STL
CLE -1

WAS
MIA -3.5

HOU
TB 3

TEN
CAR -3

ARI
PHI

BAL
SEA 8.5

DET
CHI -1

NYG
SF -3.5

NE
NYJ 0

MIN
GB -15.5

Week 10 Review & Standings

Another week, another new winner. Nobody has won twice this year....parity at it's finest.


WEEK 10 W L %


MO 12 3 80.0%

GT 11 4 73.3%

JG 10 5 66.7%

MR 10 5 66.7%

TN 9 6 60.0%

CP 9 6 60.0%

JH 9 6 60.0%

MH 8 7 53.3%

SS 8 7 53.3%

GR 7 8 46.7%

MC 7 8 46.7%

LW 7 8 46.7%

MT 7 8 46.7%

AW 4 11 26.7%

RO 4 11 26.7%

JR 3 12 20.0%

MS 0 0 #DIV/0!

Nice week Oge - $50 richer after a 12-3 performance. We hit 52.1% in total for the week, 56% in NCAA and another bad NFL week at 46%.
 
YTD W L %


MR 90 60 60.0%

MO 86 64 57.3%

SS 85 65 56.7%

JH 82 68 54.7%

TN 81 69 54.0%

GR 81 69 54.0%

CP 80 70 53.3%

MT 78 72 52.0%

GT 78 72 52.0%

RO 77 73 51.3%

MH 76 74 50.7%

LW 73 77 48.7%

JG 72 78 48.0%

AW 72 78 48.0%

MC 71 79 47.3%

MS 68 82 45.3%

JR 67 83 44.7%

We are at 52.1% YTD overall through 10 weeks of the Football Challenge. I'm actually below MS, the guy who hasn't even played in 4 of the weeks!! Wow. Back to the drawing board I guess. ROE continues to be our leader, shocking, with a 4 game lead over OGE. Looks like most of the LeRoy gang has it all figured out...most of us. We occupy 4 of the top 6 spots, and 17th. Sorry, I'm frustrated. I suck right now.
 
NCAA YTD W L %


MR 68 37 64.8%

MS 41 25 62.1%

SS 59 36 62.1%

MO 61 40 60.4%

CP 62 43 59.0%

GR 57 41 58.2%

TN 57 47 54.8%

GT 42 36 53.8%

MH 55 50 52.4%

MT 44 40 52.4%

LW 32 30 51.6%

JH 49 46 51.6%

RO 50 47 51.5%

AW 45 46 49.5%

MC 48 57 45.7%

JG 28 34 45.2%

JR 36 57 38.7%


54.9% in NCAA for the year - still in the black. This is clearly the group's strength so far. ROE still at almost 65%...very impressive.
 
NFL YTD W L %


JH 33 22 60.0%

JR 31 26 54.4%

TN 24 22 52.2%

MT 34 32 51.5%

MC 23 22 51.1%

MO 25 24 51.0%

RO 27 26 50.9%

GT 36 36 50.0%

JG 44 44 50.0%

MR 22 23 48.9%

SS 26 29 47.3%

MH 21 24 46.7%

LW 41 47 46.6%

GR 24 28 46.2%

AW 27 32 45.8%

CP 18 27 40.0%

MS 27 57 32.1%

49.6% YTD for NFL picks. MS's numbers are skewing this quite a bit because of the missed picks, but we're still below 50% either way.
 
Week 11 Lines will be coming today.

Monday, November 7, 2011

Week 10 Update

We have a winner already, Oge takes home the $50 this week at an amazing 12-3. I was a close 17th at 3-12.

Tonight's game has no meaning for the weekly standings.

If you're not following the PSU Football story yet today...you should be. Bizarre, scary, sick stuff. It's going to be a tough one to smooth over with the entire Lion Nation.

And it's officially Becky week...yep, remember, the NCAA National Champs for September, that's them.

One other thing - I've had inquiries from quite a few of you about more guys that want to play next year. I'm all in for making this thing as big as we can, so just send me their name and email and I'll start making a list for next season. I won't put any cap on it - we'll just re-look at the payouts and rules a little to make sure it still works for everyone. Based on the talks I've had with a few of you, I think we could be up near 30! guys next year. Good Stuff.

Full weekly review coming tomorrow along with the lines for Week 11.

Friday, November 4, 2011

Week 10 Preview

A day late, sorry about that. Sometimes job #1 actually gets in the way. We fared a little better last night going 3-2 overall. Here are the picks for the week:

JR: OREST A&M BAY SMU TOL EMU ASU ULL ARK ALA KC CLE BUF SEA SD


JG: FSU MN IND MICH NW KST KAN USC FLA LSU KC CLE TB NYG CHI

MR: OHIOST A&M TEX USC ORE FLA LSU ARK OLE TN NO ATL NYJ NE GB

AW: MARY MN MICH NEB TT UCF ARMY KENT OLE KC BUF SEA SD TEN PIT

GR: MICH TEX OKST OK ND TEM USC ORE LSU KC BUF PIT GB SF PHI

MH: MSU OHIOST IOWA WIS NEB BAY PITT NAVY ND UTAH ATL WAS TEN GB BAL

MC: SOMISS HOU KENT TOL EMU OHIO AKR ULL FIU UTST BUF SEA CLE TB NYG

SS: VIR WIS TEX OKST WV RICE NAVY TOL EMU LSU KC ATL NYJ WAS OAK

RO: NEB TEX OK ISU TCU BOISE UTAH OLE FLA ALA ATL BUF TB PIT TEN

TN: NW IOWA BAY CIN HOU COL ALA ARK VAN NMST OAK GB SF NE CHI

MT: MICH MN OK OKST ORE ARK OLE LSU GB SF BUF PIT TEN KC CLE

GT: MN NW OK OKST HOU BOISE ORE ARK SF TB NYJ SEA SD DEN ARI

MS: x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

CP: IOWA TEX MIZZ HOU TOL ORE ASU AZ LSU TN SEA GB BUF MIA IND

LW: MN WIS WY SDST LSU GB BUF IND PIT KC NE PHI NO HOU DAL

JH: MICH NEB MSU KST HOU USC STAN ARK ALA HAW GB NE NO HOU ATL

MO: VIR KST HOU TULSA MIAOH WY STAN ULL ARKST OLE ATL DAL MIA SF NYJ

POPULAR PICKS
At least 5 guys on each of these...
MN 5:1
TEX 5:1
MICH 5:2
OLE 5:0
HOU 6:0
ARK 6:0
LSU 7:4
ORE 5:0
 
KC 7:2
ATL 5:2
BUF 8:4
SF 5:1
SEA 5:2
GB 7:3
PIT 5:0
 
So at the rate we've been going, I'm guessing those are the plays you should make if you want to be in the red for the weekend. I have 4 of them...good sign?
 
Most teams have about 4 games left counting this week, so I will be looking at some of the conference races from here on out. First up, ROTEL and BARBASOL (also known as the Legends and Leaders).
 
IND (+28.5) at OHIOST
I know OHIOST is playing better, but to be giving 28.5 with an offense that really can't throw the football at all? Not to mention the fact that they are coming off the big WIS win and IND is coming off a beatdown at home vs. a bad NW team. It will probably be close to the number, but I'll say 27-7 OHIOST.
 
MICH at IOWA (+4)
The Captain has some 'splaining to do...
 
Assuming he still has his job on Saturday, Ferentz will likely lead his club to a win over MICH. This MICH club really hasn't proven much to me besides their freaky strange win over ND. Iowa is good at home and winless on the road and pigless for another year. Off their poor performance last weekend, I think they come out and win this one before losing their last 3. The only scary part, which I will be cheering for on Saturday, is Robinson vs. the Iowa D. Running QB's have always crushed the Ferentz defenses, and this guy is the ultimate running QB. He could turn the tide and provide the first quality B10 win for MICH. Best case scenario, MICH wins 31-28 with an Iowa cover.

PUR at WIS (-26)

Badger fans can put the gameday cruiser away for this weekend as they FINALLY get to play at home. Such BS scheduling by the B10, I can't believe they had to play on the road 2x in OCT on back to back weeks. So from the sound of it, WIS fans have pretty much cashed in their chips and called it a year at this point. But let's be logical here, it's PUR coming to town and WIS might be ready to unload on someone. I think WIS winning 66-14 is a reasonable guess.
 
NW at NEB (-18)
NW might have the worst defense in the league. Their offense is solid, but NEB might run for 500 yards against them this week. I feel like the Huskers are catching a little fire lately, and they may ride it to a Barbasol division title. I like NEB in this one 45-23.
 
GOPHERS at SPARTY (-28.5)
I stayed away from this one this week, which means I don't like the Gophs. I'm still coming down from the high of last weekend, so I can only imagine how the squad is feeling at this point. Sparty got their teeth kicked in at Lincoln, and they have to be ready to rebound on Saturday. Sparty has a very managable schedule the rest of the way, and they just need to hope for another NEB stumble. Maybe the Gophs caught a little confidence off of last week's win and hopefully can play a quality game to make it watchable, but the letdown factor is way too high for the Gophers right now and it likely will be over early. SPARTY crushes 41-10.
 
My PSU and NEB picks are still looking very strong. NEB has a couple of tough road games left and the Black Friday game with the southerners, but I think I'll take my chances on these two at this point.
 
POSSIBLE UPSETS?
5 games that I think might be more interesting than Vegas does...
 
NC at NCST (+4)
Rivalry game and a home dog...that's a combo I love right off the bat. Carolina comes in off a beatdown of WF and NCST just got smoked by FSU. NC has a young QB on the road...I'll call the upset for the 'Pack...24-21.
 
KAN (+13) at ISU
Kansas is terrible, so I didn't include this in my picks. But this is quite a letdown spot for ISU after going into Lubbock and winning 41-7. KAN has been getting pushed around by everyone they play, so taking them on the road is a scary idea. But they have performed so poorly that I think they are a little undervalued at this point. Both teams can't score, so anything could happen in this one. I'll say ISU wins a squeaker 24-23.
 
ND at WF (+13.5)
Wake is not a bad club. My numbers have them as only a 6 point dog in this one, so getting a full TD over that makes it look like a good play to me. ND's turnover issues seem to make them always a risky play. If they would be better with the ball they could be undefeated this year. Wake was crushed by NC last week, so at home at night I think they'll be in for a better performance. ND has not been stellar on the road this year, and giving this many to a quality team doesn't make sense. I'm sure it will come down to turnovers, if WF can force them they can win, if they don't they could get blown out. Odds are that they will be able to force a few...WF shocks ND 27-23.
 
STAN at OREST (+21.5)
I've been picking against STAN for most of the year because I just don't think they are nearly as good as they been playing. It finally paid off last week with USC, but barely. OREST has been totally unpredictable this year, but they historically tough at home and as a big dog. STAN is coming down off the USC emotional win and looking ahead to their game with ORE next week, so this one looks like a flyover for them. I don't think the Beavers will do enough to win, but I think they'll make STAN sweat and probably be alive in the 2nd half. STAN wins 38-28.
 
VAN (+11.5) at FLA
Vandy is only 1-4 in the SEC, but nearly neat GEO and ARK. Both of those games were at home, but I'm starting to think this Vandy club might be improving a bit. Hear that G-Reg?!? Your guys might be on their way up!! The Gators have dropped 4 in a row and are an offensive mess right now. They've scored 47 points combined in their last 4 games. Granted, it's been the cream of the crop in the SEC, but it's still under 12 ppg which is pathetic. I'll take the better trending team and a good defense getting 11.5...GATORS win a close one 19-16.
 
BIG GAMES
 
A&M (+14.5) at OK
Aggies are coming off a bad loss to MIZZOU at home last week and OK just got done crushing KST. Last week was the worst game the Aggies have played, so I think their talent is too much to not expect a rebound performance here. Sooners at home are looking to start a new streak, so they might have some juice going as well. It's a risky pick, but I'll take the Aggies to cover...SOONERS win 38-28.
 
SC at ARK (-6)
SC on the road and without most of their best players...yuck. Both are 7-1 and highly ranked, but SC is not the same team that was playing well earlier this year. They've only scored 14 ppg in their last 2 road games. You know ARK will score on anyone this side of ALA and LSU, so I think giving less than a TD looks like a layup in this one. ARK's trend scares me, they haven't played well vs. OLE or VAN the last 2 weeks, but those are tough games to get up for as an elite team with bigger things on the horizon. Hogs roll 27-10.
 
KST at OKST (-20.5)
It's the Cowboys...you should always pick them. They've covered 7 in a row and KST had their bubble burst last week against the other OK team. COWBOYS 58-27.
 
ORE (-14.5) at WASH
Not really sure which way to go on this one, but I'll take the Ducks. Washington is still a big mystery to me, and I don't know if they have the speed to keep up with the Ducks. DUCKS 49-31.
 
LSU at ALA (-4)
This is the big one. Two unreal defenses, 2 great coaches, 2 great running games. It's not the end all be all for the National Title, because each team has a couple of obstacles left, but it will go a long way in determining who takes the hardware this year. ALA is allowing 6.8 ppg this year. That is ridiculous. I rate ALA as having a better offense than LSU and a better defense and they rely less on turnovers than Les does. LSU has been crushing the spreads this year, so I think their numbers are a bit inflated and they might be getting a little too much credit in this one. Plus most of the world is on the LSU side in this one...so I LOVE ALABAMA. These hyped games typically aren't as close as you'd think, so I think ALA wins by double digits...TIDE 23-10.
 
That's all for this week - the family is heading out of town tonight and all day Saturday so I might be watching a crazy Vegas-Amount of games on Saturday. Enjoy the weekend!!
 

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Need Week 10 Pick from...

HEINERT
SETNICKER
PEYTON
LUKE

So far we're a cumulative 1-5 in our TUES/WED picks...yuck.

Please send over your picks by NOON Today.

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

TOLEDO -7 : TUESDAY NIGHT MACtion

MC and I are on TOLEDO tonight. If anyone else is one board, or wanting to capitalize on an opportunity to go against us please let me know.

Week 10 Lines

Missing one NFL game right now, the critical STL at ARI tilt is not lined yet but I'll get you an update when it is.

We have TUES, WED, THUR, and FRI football once again. If you want tonight's game, let me know before it kicks off. Same with WED.

NILL
TOL -7 TUES

TEM
OHIO 4.5 WED

AKR
MIAOH -16.5 THUR

FSU
BC 14.5 THUR

TULSA
UCF -2.5 THUR

CMU
KENT -1.5 FRI

USC
COL 22.5 FRI

SYR
UCONN -3

VAN
FLA -11.5

MN
MSU -28.5

IND
OHIOST -28.5

KST
OKST -20.5

A&M
OK -14.5

TT
TEX -9

LOU
WV -13.5

BALLST
EMU 1

MICH
IOWA 4

NC
NCST 4

NMST
GEO -35.5

KAN
ISU -13

VIR
MARY -1.5

TCU
WY 20.5

TULANE
SMU -25.5

DUKE
MIA -16.5

ARMY
AF -15

TROY
NAVY -6.5

OLE
UK 0

STAN
OREST 21.5

ULM
ULL -3.5

UTEP
RICE 1

PUR
WIS -26

NW
NEB -18

SOMISS
ECU 7.5

IDAHO
SJST -7

FIU
WKY 1.5

ARKST
FAU 17

WASU
CAL -9

UTAH
AZ -2.5

ND
WF 13.5

CIN
PITT 3

MIZZ
BAY -1.5

USF
RUT 1

MDTN
TN -18.5

HOU
UAB 25.5

SC
ARK -6

ASU
UCLA 11

NM
SDST -37

LSU
ALA -4

ORE
WASH 14.5

LT
FRES -3

BOISE
UNLV 41

UTST
HAW -6.5


NFL

MIA
KC -5

TB
NO -9

ATL
IND 9.5

CLE
HOU -12

NYJ
BUF 0

SF
WAS 4.5

SEA
DAL -14

CIN
TEN -3

DEN
OAK -8.5

NYG
NE -10

STL
ARI

GB
SD 6

BAL
PIT -3.5

CHI
PHI -8

Week 9 Review & Standings Update

Ugly MNF last night, but it worked out the right way for Mr. Roe...congrats, you're playing for free the rest of the year.

WEEK 9 W L %


MR 9 6 60.0%

AW 8 7 53.3%

GR 8 7 53.3%

MS 8 7 53.3%

SS 7 8 46.7%

TN 7 8 46.7%

MT 7 8 46.7%

JR 6 9 40.0%

JG 6 9 40.0%

MC 6 9 40.0%

RO 6 9 40.0%

LW 6 9 40.0%

MO 6 9 40.0%

GT 5 10 33.3%

JH 5 10 33.3%

MH 4 11 26.7%

CP 4 11 26.7%

Only 4 guys over .500 this week. As a group we hit 42.4%...39% in NCAA and 47% in NFL. Losers all around. Pretty ugly stuff guys - we need a rebound this week.
 
YTD OVERALL W L %


MR 80 55 59.3%

SS 77 58 57.0%

MO 74 61 54.8%

GR 74 61 54.8%

RO 73 62 54.1%

JH 73 62 54.1%

TN 72 63 53.3%

CP 71 64 52.6%

MT 71 64 52.6%

MH 68 67 50.4%

AW 68 67 50.4%

GT 67 68 49.6%

LW 66 69 48.9%

MS 66 69 48.9%

JR 64 71 47.4%

MC 64 71 47.4%

JG 62 73 45.9%


51.9% for the year as a group. ROE builds his lead to 3 games over SCHUFT and 6 over OGE and G-REG.
 
YTD NCAA W L %


MR 62 33 65.3%

SS 53 32 62.4%

MS 35 23 60.3%

CP 56 39 58.9%

MO 53 38 58.2%

GR 49 39 55.7%

TN 51 43 54.3%

RO 47 40 54.0%

JH 46 40 53.5%

MH 50 45 52.6%

GT 36 34 51.4%

MT 39 37 51.3%

LW 28 29 49.1%

AW 40 42 48.8%

MC 43 52 45.3%

JG 28 34 45.2%

JR 34 49 41.0%

53.6% in total NCAA this year, still in the black but we're dropping fast. 3 guys still doing really well at 60%+ on the season.
 
YTD NFL W L %


JR 30 22 57.7%

JH 27 22 55.1%

MT 32 27 54.2%

RO 26 22 54.2%

GR 25 22 53.2%

AW 28 25 52.8%

MC 21 19 52.5%

TN 21 20 51.2%

LW 38 40 48.7%

SS 24 26 48.0%

MO 21 23 47.7%

GT 31 34 47.7%

JG 34 39 46.6%

MH 18 22 45.0%

MR 18 22 45.0%

MS 31 46 40.3%

CP 15 25 37.5%

49.1% in NFL for the year in total. That is not in the black. Nobody over 60% in NFL, I'm the closest at 57.7%.
 
 
We are officially at the half way point of the regular season. Nobody has won more than once in the first 9 weeks. 3 guys have taken home $100 in their wins, 3 have taken home $50. Lots of interesting weeks left, including the final 4 weeks of picking only 10 NFL games...lots can change at that point considering our luck in the pro league. I'll send out the Week 10 games later today.