Friday, January 7, 2011

Cotton Bowl...still need NFL Picks from MR, MC, RO

MDTN looked like they came to play for the 1st half last night, but then sucked in the 2nd. So most of you made up 2 points on the leader (GR), and there's a chance for more tonight.

The Cotton Bowl is one of the toughest calls of all the Bowl Games, here's the deal:

A&M vs. LSU (-1)
A&M comes in super hot with wins and covers in their last 6 games leading up to the bowl. They have motivation to be there with not having been to a bowl in quite a while under Mike Sherman, and they have a nice road record and played a tougher schedule than LSU, which I was surprised by. The Tigers lost to ARK to close the season and didn't cover 4 of their final 6. Now the rumors of the Mad Hatter heading to MICH will be everywhere tonight and this bowl game really isn't that big of a deal for a club like LSU. Even with all this leaning toward A&M, I'm still very hesitant because I just don't think much of the Aggies, but by the numbers they look like a pretty legit club that's riding a nice streak. So even though I thought this was going to be a lock for LSU, I will be going with A&M tonight at the current line of +2.5.

JR, GR, AW, RO are all on A&M - the rest have LSU.

The UNDER might also be a good play tonight as both teams have pretty good defenses and kind of suspect offenses...so I like the UNDER 49 as well.

Not much at all for CBB plays today...too bad, I rocked with STAN +5 last night and they beat the Sun Devils outright by like 15.

Weekend BOWLS
UK vs. PITT
JG, MR, MH are on UK...the rest of us like PITT. Wannstedt's last game = PITT motivation and I think they roll through an overmatched UK club...one of the best bets left I think.

BC vs. NEV (-9.5)
MR, MH, MC, RO all on NEV to cover the points while the rest of us like BC.
I think NEV had their moment, BC stops the run very well and all NEV does is run the ball...at 9.5 points, yep I think BC is the play here. But I don't feel great about it either way.

That leaves us with only 1 game left - the big one for the title...we have some diversity in our picks, so it should be an exciting finish to the Bowl Season.

Send me your NFL Playoff Picks for the weekend...I'm a loner so far in 2 of the games, so we'll see what these 3 come up with before I send out the preview hopefully later today.

Good Luck - Go Aggies!

Thursday, January 6, 2011

GoDaddy.com Bowl!!

Who is excited for this classic tonight between MDTN and MIAOH!?!?

Well, no one...but we bet on it anyway. Here's the breakdown:

JR, JG, GR = MDTN
All else = MIAOH

The line that we are using is MIAOH -2...currently the line is MDTN -2.5.

Fun stuff. But it's a slow sports night, so I'll probably watch it.

What else do we have...well, after hitting a 3-0 NCAA Hoops mark yesterday with the 2 other games I didn't play going 2-0, I feel like I need to find some more NCAA Hoops action today. So here we go:

It's a slim list tonight, but I found a couple I like:

STAN +5 at ASU
STAN is a better team flat out. ASU looks too full of holes to even win this one, but I'll take points and STAN.

This is the only one I will for sure play, other possibilities:

CIN -9 vs. XAVIER: not sure Xavier is this bad, but will be interesting watch.
Thought about NOVA at -7.5 at USF, but USF is like the BIGEAST version of Sconny hoops, although they turn it over a lot more...I'll watch and not play this one.
Also kind of loving ARI at -13 hosting CAL...CAL has just been bad and ARI shoots the lights out every night so I would maybe be willing to give the 13.

Not a great night of hoops, but we'll find something to win with after the GoDaddy.com bowl.

Good Luck!!

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Bowl Update

A thriller last night that came down to scoring on a blocked punt or jumping on it...ARK chose to jump on it and throw a pick = L. Oh well, at least it was close.

Current Standings
GR-46
JR-45
MH-43
RO-41
MR-35
SS-35
MC-33
AW-32
JG-23

19 points still available in Bowl Season...then 75 available in the NFL Playoffs.

Tonight - NO BOWL GAMES!! WTF?? Bad scheduling NCAA.

So the focus has to shift to basketball...this is what I've got tonight:

PUR -6.5 at PSU
Easy one here, PUR is still really good and experienced on the road at a shit PSU club...it's also a 5:30 game so you can get the night off to a great start!

LOU -11 vs. SH
LOU will be looking for a rebound after the UK debacle, so I see no problem covering 11 against an inept SH team that has a hard time shooting and holding onto the ball.

BYU +4 at UNLV
I've been winning all year on UNLV games, and I think this is another one. Jimmer and BYU are too good to be getting 4 points (or more as this line is climbing) on the road.

A couple other possibilities are DUKE -18 hosting UAB tonight...DUKE houses everyone but I'm staying away because it's a sandwich game for them before MARY on the weekend.

Also kind of like WIS -11 at home against MICH, MICH is super young and this is their first B10 road game, and they can't rebound...all bad, bad things against the BADgers.

I looked at MEM+6 at TEN, but both of these teams are so unpredictable this could be a 20 point blowout in either direction - should be a fun watch, but you might be suicidal trying to watch this one with a bet on it.

Also - Wolves are home favorites tonight...Wolves should never be home favorites, bet on CHAR.

Until tomorrow...GOOD LUCK!

Send over your NFL Playoff Picks if you have them.

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

End of the DICKROD

It's over - MICH is officially in the hunt for a new coach. Nice run DICKROD...2 losing seasons with no bowl games and one season where you get crushed by MISS ST. and suffer the worst bowl loss in MICH history. Nice work.

In other hilarious coaching news...guess who made the Final 4 for the HC job at Texas State....






Wow.

And it gets better for our rivals...IOWA is likely to lose their DC to retirement on the account that, well, he doesn't have a foot anymore and their OC is a possibility for a couple of different openings I've read.

While the BAAAADgers after suffering a Rose Bowl defeat and a hoops loss at Illinois all in the same weekend have lost their DC to NILL as the HC and it's being reported today that Paul Chryst, their OC, is interviewing with TEXAS for the vacant OC spot.

Could we have the most tenured coordinators in the tri-state area?? Bizarro world.

More craziness is sure to come...including MICH's pleading and praying for Jimmy Harbaugh to come back, but I'd be willing to bet anything and everything that he won't go to Michigan. Maybe they'll grab the Mad Hatter from LSU...that would be amazing!

Do you think Mase in handing in an application to the Maize and Blue to try and get back at OHIOST for passing him over?

SUGAR Bowl Picks

The Cardinal came through last night - never a doubt. They steam-rolled VT in the 2nd half and won me some $$$.

Tonight we have the Sugar Bowl, which is shaping up to be another great one and the last of the BCS Bowls before next Monday.

ARK-OHIOST (-3)
I've wavered on this one quite a bit as well, but I think I have to lean away from the mighty B10 and toward the SEC and the points. ARK +3 is the pick tonight for me and for MR...everyone else is staying true to Buckeye nation tonight.

Why ARK? I think they have been playing better and I think it could turn into a shootout because nobody has been able to stop this ARK offense all year. They only scored less than 31 points 2 times this season, yes one of those was ALA who might be the best comparison game for OHIOST...but I don't think OHIOST can stop them. The Buckeyes also likely won't be able to keep up with them on the scoreboard with the Hogs. They have no convincing wins this season and played poorly in all of their road games except for at the Bank. Speed edge to ARK, QB edge to ARK, playmaker edge to ARK. OHIOST has the better D, but I don't think they've really been tested like they will tonight.

ARK 31 OHIOST 21

In other action we have IND at MIN (-10) in hoops: not playing it but I would take IND to cover the 10 because the Gophs just don't blow anyone away right now.

I do like TEXAS at -10 hosting ARK tonight...ARK's first true road game and 1st real test while TEXAS is well seasoned already and a very stingy D. I'll take the Horns.

Good Luck!!

Monday, January 3, 2011

Orange Bowl

I'm actually kind of excited for this one. It should be a heck of a matchup between the Cardinal and the Hokies tonight.

Here's the situation:

VT vs. STAN (-3)
I really liked VT all year and wasn't convinced of STAN running over them in this game. I'm still a little scared of all the Harbaugh rumors being a distraction, but I think I'm going with STAN to win and cover tonight. JG, MH, RO all agree with me. It's a big 5 point game, so you better watch.

Deciding factor for me is the strength of schedule STAN played all year which was much better than the weak ACC slate VT went against. I also don't trust Tyrod and that offense to consistently score a lot of points on STAN. Harbaugh will have this team ready - I'll go with STAN 27 VT 20.

In other news...

Adam Robinson has officially been kicked off the Iowa squad.

Devoe Joseph is meeting with Tubby today to discuss his future...sounds like he's likely done as a Gopher and looking to transfer, which seems crazy to me considering he's already a Junior this season.

Not much else looks appealing tonight - good luck!

PLAYOFF LINES & Post-Season Challenge Rules

First, here are the 4 lines for the weekend - send me all 4 of your picks this week:

NO
SEA 10.5

NYJ
IND -3

BAL
KC 2.5

GB
PHI -2.5


All of these games this weekend will be worth 3 points each. The total breakout is as follows:
WC: 3 pts each
DIV: 6 pts each
CHAMP: 9 pts each
SB: 16 points + 5 prop bets worth 1 each

This gives us a Grand Total of 75 NFL Playoff points possible and 100 Bowl points possible. This is the same ratio we used in the regular season. The 2 scores will be combined to determine your final score and figure out who our winner is.

$180 is in the pot - $160 for 1st and $20 for 2nd.

Good Luck!!

Football Challenge 2010 - FINAL STANDINGS

The regular season came to an exciting finish yesterday, and for the 1st time ever we have a new champion.

ROE needed another GB TD and for the NYG to keep WAS out of the endzone at 17-7, but neither happened and Mark Heinert is the 2010 Football Champion.

Here are the FINAL STANDINGS
MH 139 111 55.6%
MR 138 112 55.2%
RO 133 117 53.2%
SS 131 119 52.4%
JR 129 121 51.6%
MC 128 122 51.2%
JG 128 122 51.2%
GR 126 124 50.4%
AW 126 124 50.4%

ROE posted a 2-8 in the final week vs. MH's 4-6...not exactly a great finish, but to hit 55% for both of you is a very nice year. Congrats.

BOWL CHALLENGE/PLAYOFF CHALLENGE

Here are the current standings for this:
GR-41
JR-40
MR-35
MH-33
RO-31
SS-30
MC-28
AW-27
JG-13

A 7-21 start for JG...but plenty of big points left, you can still manage 42 points if you hit the rest of the Bowl Games.

I will be sending out the Wildcard Playoff lines and point values for those today.